Texans vs Jaguars Match Player Stats | Week 3 Sunday 2025

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HOU @ JAX

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 3 Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 21st
21/09/25 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Houston Texans Game Today

The Jacksonville Jaguars feature a new play-caller this year in head coach Liam Coen, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to skew 3.2% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).

At the present time, the 8th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (62.1% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to have 129.0 plays on offense run: the 4th-most among all games this week.

This week, Trevor Lawrence is predicted by the projections to average the 7th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 36.0.,As it relates to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Jaguars ranks as the 5th-best in the league since the start of last season.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 4th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 129.0 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses have averaged 34.8 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the league.

C.J. Stroud’s throwing efficiency has been refined this year, notching 7.66 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a mere 6.55 figure last year.

Since the start of last season, the anemic Jacksonville Jaguars defense has surrendered a staggering 254.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing QBs: the 2nd-worst in the league.

Since the start of last season, the anemic Jacksonville Jaguars defense has given up the most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing offenses: a monstrous 5.46 YAC.

Negatives with the Jacksonville Jaguars Game Today

The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a mere 55.3 plays per game.

Trevor Lawrence’s 57.3% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a material drop-off in his throwing precision over last year’s 61.2% figure.

Since the start of last season, the imposing Houston Texans defense has conceded a mere 64.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the best rate in the league.

The Houston Texans pass defense has displayed strong efficiency since the start of last season, allowing 7.09 adjusted yards-per-target: the 3rd-fewest in the league.

The leading projections forecast the Houston Texans offense to lean 4.1% more towards the rushing attack than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Nick Caley now calling the plays.

The Texans have played in the 3rd-most “low wind” (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which ought to mean reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced offense results when facing windier weather in this game.

The Texans O-line ranks as the 6th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

With a subpar 60.4% Adjusted Completion% (24th percentile) this year, C.J. Stroud stands among the least accurate quarterbacks in the league.

The Jaguars linebackers profile as the 2nd-best group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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