Texans vs Seahawks Match Player Stats | Week 7 Monday 2025

HOU @ SEA

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 7 Houston Texans at Seattle Seahawks
Todays Game is on Monday, October 20th
20/10/25 22:00:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Houston Texans Game Today

This week’s spread suggests a passing game script for the Texans, who are -3.5-point underdogs.

With a 63.5% rate of throwing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the league has been the Texans.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to have 129.6 total plays run: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.8 pass attempts per game versus the Seahawks defense this year: 3rd-most in football.

In this week’s game, Nico Collins is forecasted by the model to place in the 92nd percentile when it comes to wideouts with 8.5 targets.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to have 129.6 plays on offense run: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.

The projections expect Jaxon Smith-Njigba to earn 10.4 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 97th percentile among wide receivers.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been much more involved in his offense’s pass attack this year (37.2% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (24.3%).

After accruing 73.0 air yards per game last season, Jaxon Smith-Njigba has seen marked improvement this season, currently boasting 118.0 per game.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba has notched a lot more adjusted receiving yards per game (88.0) this year than he did last year (69.0).

Sam Darnold’s passing accuracy has been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 66.2% to 71.0%.

With a fantastic 8.96 adjusted yards-per-target (100th percentile) this year, Sam Darnold ranks among the best per-play passers in the NFL.

The Houston Texans safeties grade out as the 6th-worst group of safeties in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

C.J. Stroud’s passing accuracy has gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 61.0% to 70.4%.

Nick Chubb has generated 41.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the largest figures in the league among RBs (75th percentile).

Nick Chubb’s rushing effectiveness has been refined this season, averaging 4.27 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a measly 3.21 mark last season.

In this week’s game, Dalton Schultz is anticipated by the model to place in the 86th percentile among tight ends with 6.0 targets.

The predictive model expects the Seahawks as the 4th-most run-focused team on the slate this week with a 46.5% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The model projects Kenneth Walker III to earn 13.5 carries in this week’s game, on average, placing him in the 76th percentile among RBs.

Kenneth Walker III has picked up 53.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest figures in football among running backs (86th percentile).

Negatives with the Seattle Seahawks Game Today

The Texans have run the 9th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 54.4 plays per game.

Nico Collins has accumulated quite a few less air yards this season (83.0 per game) than he did last season (102.0 per game).

Nico Collins has notched many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (53.0) this season than he did last season (75.0).

Nico Collins’s 62.2% Adjusted Completion% this season marks an impressive reduction in his receiving talent over last season’s 67.1% figure.

Nico Collins’s ability to grind out extra yardage has declined this season, totaling just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 5.18 figure last season.

A running game script is suggested by the Seahawks being a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s contest.

The leading projections forecast the Seattle Seahawks as the 4th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 53.5% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The 4th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Seattle Seahawks this year (a lowly 51.8 per game on average).

Jaxon Smith-Njigba’s talent in generating extra yardage have declined this year, totaling a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 4.55 rate last year.

The Texans defense has yielded the 6th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 119.0) to WRs this year.

Our trusted projections expect Sam Darnold to throw 32.1 passes in this game, on balance: the 5th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.

This year, the daunting Houston Texans defense has given up a paltry 181.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing quarterbacks: the 3rd-best in the NFL.

C.J. Stroud has passed for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (180.0) this season than he did last season (205.0).

The Seahawks pass defense has displayed good efficiency this year, giving up 7.06 adjusted yards-per-target: the 9th-fewest in football.

This year, the imposing Texans defense has allowed a mere 41.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing tight ends: the 9th-best in the league.

This year, the strong Texans defense has given up the 3rd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing tight ends: a feeble 5.9 yards.

The Texans rank as the 7th-least run-heavy team in football (context-neutralized) this year with a 36.5% run rate.

Nick Chubb has been a much smaller piece of his team’s run game this year (48.6% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (59.0%).

This year, the porous Seattle Seahawks run defense has given up a whopping 3.37 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition’s rushing attack: the 31st-biggest rate in the NFL.

Dalton Schultz’s 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season illustrates a substantial regression in his efficiency in space over last season’s 3.9% figure.

As it relates to defensive tackles getting after the quarterback, Seattle’s unit has been very good this year, grading out as the best in football.

Kenneth Walker III has been a much smaller part of his offense’s run game this season (50.7% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (66.1%).

This year, the imposing Texans run defense has yielded a puny 86.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing squads: the 6th-fewest in the NFL.

As it relates to the defensive tackles’ role in run defense, Houston’s group of DTs has been great this year, grading out as the 5th-best in football.

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