
CHI @ IND







Todays Matchup Details
Chicago Bears at Indianapolis Colts
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 22nd
22/09/24 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff
Week 3 Match Players Stats for Chicago Bears @ Indianapolis Colts
The predictive model expects this game to have the highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The predictive model expects D’Andre Swift to accrue 14.1 carries in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 80th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Out of all RBs, D’Andre Swift ranks in the 84th percentile for carries since the start of last season, making up 50.0% of the workload in his team’s rushing attack.
D’Andre Swift has averaged 56.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the highest marks in the league among running backs (82nd percentile).
Since the start of last season, the porous Indianapolis Colts run defense has been gouged for a staggering 141.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the 3rd-worst in football.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bears to pass on 63.4% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest rate among all teams this week.
Our trusted projections expect D.J. Moore to garner 8.5 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 92nd percentile among WRs.
D.J. Moore rates as one of the leading wide receivers in the game since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 71.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 95th percentile.
As it relates to air yards, Cole Kmet grades out in the towering 84th percentile among TEs since the start of last season, accruing a remarkable 31.0 per game.
With a fantastic 43.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (88th percentile) since the start of last season, Cole Kmet rates as one of the top tight ends in the pass game in the NFL.
The predictive model expects this game to see the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.4 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
Opposing teams have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game versus the Bears defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in the NFL.
The Indianapolis Colts O-line grades out as the best in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing game stats across the board.
Opposing teams have thrown for the 10th-most adjusted yards in the league (234.0 per game) against the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season.
Michael Pittman has run a route on 96.1% of his team’s dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 99th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
Michael Pittman rates as one of the leading wide receivers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a fantastic 66.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 91st percentile.
Kylen Granson has accrued a massive 25.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 77th percentile among TEs.
The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 5th-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 46.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast Jonathan Taylor to accrue 20.0 rush attempts in this week’s contest, on average, putting him in the 98th percentile when it comes to RBs.
Jonathan Taylor has been a much bigger part of his team’s rushing attack this season (70.0% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (56.8%).
Jonathan Taylor has generated 74.0 adjusted rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the largest marks in football among running backs (97th percentile).
Match Players Stats Week 3 Chicago Bears at Indianapolis Colts
Our trusted projections expect the Chicago Bears to be the 2nd-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 36.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
With a dreadful tally of 2.04 yards after contact (17th percentile) this year, D’Andre Swift stands as one of the least formidable RBs in the NFL.
Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Colts, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 30.9 per game) since the start of last season.
While D.J. Moore has been responsible for 29.9% of his offense’s targets in games he has played since the start of last season, our trusted projections expect him to be much less involved in Chicago’s passing attack in this contest at 23.0%.
When talking about pass protection (and the influence it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Chicago Bears ranks as the 7th-worst in football since the start of last season.
The Indianapolis Colts defense has yielded the 8th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 130.0) versus wide receivers since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, the fierce Colts pass defense has conceded the 2nd-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing wideouts: a measly 3.7 YAC.
While Cole Kmet has accounted for 19.1% of his team’s targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the leading projections forecast him to be a much smaller part of Chicago’s offense in this game at 10.0%.
Cole Kmet rates as one of the bottom tight ends in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging a measly 3.96 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 22nd percentile.
The Indianapolis Colts linebackers project as the 4th-best unit in the league since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts to pass on 53.7% of their chances: the 5th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
With a feeble 55.1% Adjusted Completion% (16th percentile) since the start of last season, Anthony Richardson rates as one of the least on-target passers in the NFL.
Since the start of last season, the fierce Chicago Bears defense has yielded the 9th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing squads: a puny 7.3 yards.
As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Chicago’s unit has been tremendous since the start of last season, grading out as the 6th-best in football.
The Bears defense has given up the 9th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 132.0) versus wide receivers since the start of last season.
The Bears pass defense has displayed strong efficiency vs. WRs since the start of last season, conceding 7.47 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-fewest in the league.
With a subpar 63.7% Adjusted Completion Rate (8th percentile) since the start of last season, Kylen Granson places as one of the worst possession receivers in the league among tight ends.
Since the start of last season, the stout Chicago Bears defense has yielded the least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing TEs: a paltry 6.2 yards.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has been quite strong when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, allowing an average of 3.45 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the fewest in the league.
As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Chicago’s collection of LBs has been great since the start of last season, profiling as the 6th-best in the league.
Opposing teams have run for the fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 81.0 per game) vs. the Bears defense since the start of last season.
As it relates to the defensive tackles’ role in stopping the run, Chicago’s unit has been one of the most skilled since the start of last season, ranking as the 7th-best in football.
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