Colts vs Steelers Match Player Stats | Week 4 Sunday Pittsburgh Steelers at Indianapolis Colts

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Colts vs Steelers Match Player Stats | Week 4 Sunday Pittsburgh Steelers at Indianapolis Colts

PIT @ IND

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 4 Pittsburgh Steelers at Indianapolis Colts
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 29th
29/09/24 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff

Key Match Player Stats to this Game

The leading projections forecast the Colts offense to be the 4th-quickest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.32 seconds per snap.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The Indianapolis Colts O-line profiles as the best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are expected by the projection model to run 65.2 total plays in this game: the 9th-most among all teams this week.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.

With a top-tier 93.5% Route Participation% (92nd percentile) since the start of last season, George Pickens ranks as one of the WRs with the biggest workloads in football.

The projections expect George Pickens to accrue 6.6 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 78th percentile among wide receivers.

George Pickens ranks as one of the best pass-catching wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 53.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 82nd percentile.

The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 4th-most run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 47.8% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect Jonathan Taylor to accrue 21.6 carries in this week’s game, on average, ranking him in the 100th percentile among RBs.

Jonathan Taylor has been a much bigger part of his offense’s ground game this year (72.5% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (56.8%).

Jonathan Taylor has picked up 77.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the largest marks in football among RBs (98th percentile).

Pat Freiermuth has run a route on 71.0% of his team’s dropbacks since the start of last season, placing him in the 87th percentile among TEs.

This week, Pat Freiermuth is projected by the projection model to place in the 91st percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.1 targets.

Since the start of last season, the feeble Indianapolis Colts defense has surrendered a colossal 52.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing TEs: the 4th-worst in football.

When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Indianapolis’s unit has been lousy since the start of last season, grading out as the 10th-worst in the league.

The model projects Michael Pittman to accrue 8.0 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 87th percentile among WRs.

Michael Pittman has been an integral part of his team’s passing offense, earning a Target Share of 31.2% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 99th percentile among WRs.

Michael Pittman has been one of the best WRs in the league since the start of last season, averaging an excellent 62.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 90th percentile.

Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to pass on 52.2% of their chances: the 4th-lowest clip among all teams this week.

The predictive model expects Anthony Richardson to attempt 29.7 passes in this week’s game, on balance: the 9th-fewest out of all QBs.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Steelers, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 31.7 per game) since the start of last season.

With a feeble 55.0% Adjusted Completion% (17th percentile) since the start of last season, Anthony Richardson rates as one of the least on-target passers in the NFL.

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 7th-lowest clip in the league versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season (67.3% Adjusted Completion%).

The predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 3rd-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 49.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

When it comes to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Steelers profiles as the 4th-worst in football since the start of last season.

The Colts defense has given up the 10th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 135.0) to wide receivers since the start of last season.

The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has performed very well when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, allowing an average of 3.24 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-fewest in the league.

As it relates to the defensive ends’ role in run defense, Pittsburgh’s collection of DEs has been tremendous since the start of last season, profiling as the best in the league.

This year, the tough Colts pass defense has allowed the 4th-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing tight ends: a puny 2.8 YAC.

In this week’s game, Justin Fields is forecasted by the projections to have the 6th-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 28.2. , Justin Fields comes in as one of the bottom passers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging 168.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 24th percentile.

Justin Fields rates as one of the least on-target passers in football since the start of last season with a 62.5% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 16th percentile.

Since the start of last season, the tough Steelers defense has allowed a mere 61.6% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 6th-best rate in the league.

As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Pittsburgh’s group of safeties has been one of the most skilled since the start of last season, grading out as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

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