Colts vs Chiefs Match Player Stats | Week 12 Sunday 2025

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IND @ KC

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 12 Indianapolis Colts at Kansas City Chiefs
Todays Game is on Sunday, November 23rd
23/11/25 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Indianapolis Colts Game Today

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Colts are underdogs in this week’s game, suggesting more of a reliance on throwing than their usual game plan.

With a 63.4% rate of passing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 8th-most pass-focused offense in football has been the Colts.

In this game, Michael Pittman is anticipated by the projection model to rank in the 87th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.7 targets.

With an elite 23.0% Target Share (87th percentile) this year, Michael Pittman ranks among the wideouts with the highest volume in the league.

The Indianapolis Colts offensive line grades out as the best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong influence on all passing game statistics across the board.

The leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs as the 2nd-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 63.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The Colts defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (38.9 per game) this year.

The predictive model expects Rashee Rice to accrue 9.9 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 95th percentile among wideouts.

With an extraordinary 25.7% Target% (91st percentile) this year, Rashee Rice ranks as one of the wideouts with the most usage in the league.

The Chiefs offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all passing attack statistics across the board.

The leading projections forecast Travis Kelce to notch 6.7 targets in this week’s contest, on balance, putting him in the 89th percentile among tight ends.

Travis Kelce’s 63.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season signifies a noteworthy improvement in his pass-catching ability over last season’s 55.0 rate.

The leading projections forecast Jonathan Taylor to accumulate 19.8 rush attempts in this week’s contest, on balance, ranking him in the 98th percentile among RBs.

Jonathan Taylor has garnered 80.5% of his offense’s rushing play calls this year, putting him in the 100th percentile among running backs.

With an excellent record of 108.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (100th percentile), Jonathan Taylor places among the leading pure rushers in the NFL this year.

Jonathan Taylor’s ground efficiency has gotten a boost this season, compiling 6.29 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a mere 4.61 mark last season.

Jonathan Taylor has done a better job at grinding out extra running yardage this year, accumulating 4.47 yards-after-contact vs a 2.68 figure last year.

The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has yielded the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (88.6%) to tight ends this year (88.6%).

This year, the weak Kansas City Chiefs defense has given up the 4th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing tight ends: a massive 9.29 yards.

Negatives with the Kansas City Chiefs Game Today

Our trusted projections expect the Colts offense to be the 5th-slowest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 28.96 seconds per snap.

Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Chiefs, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 30.3 per game) this year.

Michael Pittman has put up significantly fewer air yards this season (63.0 per game) than he did last season (72.0 per game).

Michael Pittman’s 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season reflects a meaningful drop-off in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last season’s 3.7% mark.

The Chiefs defense has conceded the 7th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 124.0) vs. wide receivers this year.

A running game script is implied by the Chiefs being a 3-point favorite in this game.

As far as a defense’s influence on pace, at 29.22 seconds per snap, the leading projections forecast the Chiefs as the 5th-slowest in football (context-neutralized) at the present time.

Rashee Rice’s 74.8% Adjusted Catch% this season conveys an impressive drop-off in his receiving prowess over last season’s 81.1% figure.

Rashee Rice’s 8.6 adjusted yards per target this season represents a significant decline in his pass-catching skills over last season’s 9.8 mark.

Rashee Rice’s 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season illustrates a noteable reduction in his effectiveness in the open field over last season’s 7.0% figure.

Travis Kelce has been much less involved in his team’s passing offense this season (19.0% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (24.6%).

Travis Kelce has accumulated far fewer air yards this season (39.0 per game) than he did last season (59.0 per game).

Travis Kelce’s 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year illustrates a noteable decrease in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last year’s 3.5% rate.

With a 36.6% rate of rushing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 8th-least run-heavy offense in football has been the Colts.

The opposing side have run for the 9th-fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 98.0 per game) versus the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year.

The Chiefs linebackers profile as the best LB corps in the NFL this year with their run defense.

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