
IND @ DEN





Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, December 15th
15/12/24 16:25:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
This week’s line suggests a throwing game script for the Colts, who are -4-point underdogs.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by our trusted projection set to have 132.6 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.
Opposing QBs have averaged 38.6 pass attempts per game against the Denver Broncos defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
As it relates to pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the Indianapolis Colts grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year.
This year, the shaky Denver Broncos defense has conceded a whopping 250.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 7th-worst in football.
The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.6 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
In this game, Courtland Sutton is forecasted by the predictive model to slot into the 95th percentile when it comes to WRs with 9.2 targets.
After accruing 76.0 air yards per game last year, Courtland Sutton has shown good development this year, currently averaging 100.0 per game.
Courtland Sutton rates in the 93rd percentile among wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive volume) with a staggering 65.7 figure this year.
This year, the feeble Indianapolis Colts pass defense has been torched for a colossal 72.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 2nd-largest rate in the league.
The Broncos O-line grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing attack stats across the board.
This year, the shaky Colts defense has been gouged for a colossal 252.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing quarterbacks: the 6th-most in football.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the highest level in the league versus the Colts defense this year (76.9% Adjusted Completion%).
The leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts as the 3rd-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 49.8% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect Jonathan Taylor to accumulate 20.0 carries in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 97th percentile among RBs.
Jonathan Taylor has averaged 79.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the largest figures in football among running backs (94th percentile).
As it relates to the defensive ends’ role in run defense, Denver’s group of DEs has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the 5th-worst in football. in football.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
The predictive model expects the Colts to be the 3rd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 50.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The 2nd-fewest plays in football have been run by the Colts this year (only 53.6 per game on average).
The leading projections forecast Anthony Richardson to throw 30.7 passes in this week’s contest, on balance: the 3rd-fewest out of all QBs.
With an atrocious tally of 147.0 adjusted passing yards per game (14th percentile), Anthony Richardson stands among the weakest quarterbacks in the NFL this year.
Anthony Richardson’s throwing precision has declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 57.3% to 46.8%.
With a 4-point advantage, the Broncos are favored in this week’s game, implying more of a reliance on rushing than their standard game plan.
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Broncos to pass on 55.2% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
Courtland Sutton’s 62.9% Adjusted Catch Rate this year represents a meaningful drop-off in his pass-catching ability over last year’s 68.4% figure.
Courtland Sutton comes in as one of the weakest wideouts in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a mere 2.25 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 12th percentile.
The Indianapolis cornerbacks rank as the 3rd-best group of CBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
The projections expect Jonathan Taylor to be a much smaller piece of his offense’s rushing attack in this week’s contest (61.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (73.2% in games he has played).
Jonathan Taylor is positioned as one of the bottom running backs in the league at picking up extra running yardage, averaging just 2.69 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 15th percentile.
This year, the shaky Broncos run defense has yielded a massive 3.81 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition’s run game: the 29th-highest rate in football.
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