LV @ IND





Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, October 5th
05/10/25 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff
Positives for the Las Vegas Raiders Game Today
This game will be played in a dome,—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Daniel Jones’s passing precision has improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 63.4% to 70.5%.
Daniel Jones’s 8.23 adjusted yards-per-target this season represents an impressive growth in his passing effectiveness over last season’s 6.1% figure.
This year, the shaky Raiders defense has allowed a colossal 247.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 9th-worst in football.
The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has displayed weak efficiency this year, conceding 8.24 adjusted yards-per-target: the 7th-most in the league.
The Raiders pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing TEs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.83 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the most in the league.
The Raiders safeties project as the 3rd-worst safety corps in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
The leading projections forecast Michael Pittman to notch 7.9 targets in this week’s contest, on average, ranking him in the 85th percentile among wide receivers.
Michael Pittman has been heavily involved in his team’s offense, garnering a Target Share of 24.6% this year, which puts him in the 88th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
Michael Pittman has notched a whopping 70.0 air yards per game this year: 80th percentile among wideouts.
The Raiders defense has been torched for the 2nd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (176.0) vs. WRs this year.
Our trusted projections expect the Colts as the 6th-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 44.8% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast Jonathan Taylor to accrue 20.3 carries in this game, on average, putting him in the 99th percentile among RBs.
Out of all RBs, Jonathan Taylor grades out in the 99th percentile for rush attempts this year, making up 79.3% of the workload in his team’s ground game.
Jonathan Taylor’s rushing efficiency has been refined this season, accumulating 5.43 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a mere 4.61 mark last season.
Negatives with the Indianapolis Colts Game Today
This week’s spread suggests a rushing game script for the Colts, who are favored by 6.5 points.
The model projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 6th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 55.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast the Colts offense to be the 10th-most sluggish paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 29.07 seconds per play.
The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has given up the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (72%) vs. tight ends since the start of last season (72.0%).
Michael Pittman’s 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year indicates a noteable regression in his efficiency in space over last year’s 3.7% rate.
Jonathan Taylor has rushed for many fewer adjusted yards per game (84.0) this season than he did last season (100.0).
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