Colts vs Rams Match Player Stats | Week 4 Sunday 2025

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IND @ LA

Indianapolis Colts at Los Angeles Rams Week 4Colts vs RamsColts vs RamsColts vs RamsColts vs RamsColts vs RamsColts vs Rams

Todays Matchup Details

Week 4 Indianapolis Colts at Los Angeles Rams
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 28th
28/09/25 16:05:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Indianapolis Colts Game Today

The Colts are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, likely leading to a passing game script.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 129.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (1-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may drop.

When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Colts grades out as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

Daniel Jones is positioned as one of the top quarterbacks in football this year, averaging a fantastic 189.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 75th percentile.

The model projects the Colts to be the 5th-most run-heavy offense in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 41.8% run rate.

Our trusted projections expect Jonathan Taylor to accumulate 19.9 rush attempts in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 100th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Among all running backs, Jonathan Taylor grades out in the 99th percentile for rush attempts this year, taking on 77.8% of the workload in his team’s ground game.

Jonathan Taylor’s 5.8 adjusted yards per carry this year marks a noteworthy boost in his running ability over last year’s 4.6 figure.

The Rams pass defense has not been good when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.83 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 5th-most in football.

Michael Pittman has run a route on 89.4% of his team’s dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 85th percentile among wide receivers.

This week, Michael Pittman is expected by the model to finish in the 84th percentile among WRs with 7.3 targets.

Negatives with the Los Angeles Rams Game Today

At the present time, the 5th-least pass-heavy offense in football (58.2% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Indianapolis Colts.

In logging a paltry 22.2 pass attempts per game this year, Daniel Jones ranks among the bottom QBs in the league (25th percentile) by this metric.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 4th-lowest rate in football against the Los Angeles Rams defense since the start of last season (67.6% Adjusted Completion%).

When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Los Angeles’s unit has been fantastic since the start of last season, ranking as the 4th-best in the NFL.

Jonathan Taylor has rushed for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (87.0) this season than he did last season (100.0).

As it relates to the defensive tackles’ role in run defense, Los Angeles’s DT corps has been great since the start of last season, ranking as the 3rd-best in the league.

Since the start of last season, the strong Los Angeles Rams defense has conceded a mere 73.1% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 7th-best rate in the NFL.

Michael Pittman’s 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season indicates a noteable regression in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last season’s 3.7% figure.

Since the start of last season, the daunting Rams defense has conceded a paltry 60.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 3rd-lowest rate in the league.

Since the start of last season, the tough Los Angeles Rams pass defense has allowed the 6th-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing WRs: a mere 3.4 YAC.

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