Colts vs Titans Match Player Stats | Week 3 Sunday 2025

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IND @ TEN

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 3 Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 21st
21/09/25 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Indianapolis Colts Game Today

The Titans are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the highest rate in football vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense since the start of last season (75.5% Adjusted Completion%).

Since the start of last season, the porous Indianapolis Colts defense has been gouged for the 8th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing offenses: a whopping 8.18 yards.

When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Colts profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

Daniel Jones’s throwing precision has been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 63.4% to 69.4%.

Daniel Jones’s pass-game efficiency has gotten better this year, accumulating 8.50 adjusted yards-per-target vs a measly 6.13 figure last year.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 7th-highest level in football vs. the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season (72.8% Adjusted Completion%).

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts to run on 49.1% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.

With a stellar record of 102.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (98th percentile), Jonathan Taylor ranks as one of the top pure runners in football since the start of last season.

The opposing side have rushed for the 4th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (138 per game) vs. the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season.

Right now, the 9th-most run-heavy offense in football (41.8% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Tennessee Titans.

In this week’s contest, Tony Pollard is projected by the model to finish in the 84th percentile when it comes to RBs with 16.5 rush attempts.

Tony Pollard has been much more involved in his offense’s running game this year (80.9% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (64.6%).

With a remarkable tally of 62.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (87th percentile), Tony Pollard has been among the top RBs in football since the start of last season.

Opposing teams have run for the 8th-most adjusted yards in the league (129 per game) versus the Colts defense since the start of last season.

Negatives with the Tennessee Titans Game Today

Right now, the 9th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL (58.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Titans.

The model projects the Titans to run the 5th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.3 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Tennessee Titans offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all passing game stats across the board.

As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Indianapolis’s collection of safeties has been tremendous since the start of last season, ranking as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

A rushing game script is implied by the Colts being a 3.5-point favorite in this game.

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Colts to pass on 50.9% of their chances: the 4th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

The projections expect this game to have the 4th-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 126.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Indianapolis’s passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially increased (and running stats too low) considering playing the 3rd-most “low wind” (4-mph or less) games in the league. We figure to be able to count on some regression with windier weather in this game.

Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Titans, totaling the fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 28.4 per game) since the start of last season.

The predictive model expects Jonathan Taylor to be a much smaller part of his team’s running game in this week’s game (66.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (77.4% in games he has played).

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