Dolphins vs Colts Match Player Stats | Week 1 Sunday 2025

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Dolphins vs Colts Match Player Stats | Week 1 Sunday 2025

MIA @ IND

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 1 Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 7th
07/09/25 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Miami Dolphins Game Today

The leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts offense to be the 5th-fastest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.41 seconds per play.

In averaging a whopping 36.2 pass attempts per game last year, Daniel Jones places among the top QBs in the NFL (90th percentile) in this statistic.

The Indianapolis Colts offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in the NFL last year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.

When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Miami’s group of LBs has been atrocious last year, profiling as the 7th-worst in the league.

In this contest, Josh Downs is anticipated by the projections to secure a spot in the 82nd percentile among wideouts with 7.0 targets.

With a high 25.8% Target Share (88th percentile) last year, Josh Downs stands among the wideouts with the most usage in football.

Josh Downs is positioned as one of the leading wide receivers in the league last year, averaging an exceptional 55.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 76th percentile.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Dolphins to pass on 62.5% of their downs: the 3rd-highest frequency on the slate this week.

The Dolphins have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL last year, averaging a whopping 59.7 plays per game.

The projections expect Tua Tagovailoa to attempt 36.5 passes in this week’s contest, on average: the 5th-most out of all QBs.

With an impressive rate of 268.0 adjusted passing yards per game (95th percentile), Tua Tagovailoa stands among the best passers in the league last year.

Last year, the deficient Indianapolis Colts defense has surrendered a whopping 76.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the highest rate in football.

Our trusted projections expect Devon Achane to accumulate 13.0 carries in this week’s game, on balance, placing him in the 86th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Our trusted projections expect Devon Achane to be a more important option in his offense’s rushing attack this week (56.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been last year (46.4% in games he has played).

Devon Achane has grinded out 49.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground last year, one of the biggest marks in the league among running backs (75th percentile).

Last year, the shaky Miami Dolphins defense has given up the 10th-most yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing tight ends: a staggering 5.13 YAC.

The model projects Tyreek Hill to total 8.7 targets in this week’s contest, on balance, putting him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

With a stellar 57.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (79th percentile) last year, Tyreek Hill stands among the top WRs in the game in the league.

Last year, the deficient Indianapolis Colts pass defense has conceded a monstrous 70.4% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 2nd-biggest rate in the league.

The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts as the 8th-most run-focused team on the slate this week with a 45.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The model projects Jonathan Taylor to notch 19.9 rush attempts in this week’s contest, on balance, placing him in the 99th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Jonathan Taylor has generated 100.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground last year, one of the highest figures in the NFL when it comes to RBs (98th percentile).

Negatives with the Indianapolis Colts Game Today

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to pass on 54.7% of their chances: the 8th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

The Colts have played in the 3rd-most “low wind” (4-mph or less) games in the NFL last year, which ought to result in lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing offense performance when facing windier conditions in this week’s contest.

Daniel Jones is positioned as one of the least on-target passers in the NFL last year with a 63.4% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 24th percentile.

Daniel Jones rates as one of the least effective quarterbacks in football last year, averaging just 6.13 adjusted yards-per-target while checking in at the lowly 6th percentile.

The Miami Dolphins pass defense has displayed good efficiency last year, surrendering 7.51 adjusted yards-per-target: the 7th-fewest in the NFL.

With a weak 7.5 adjusted yards per target (19th percentile) last year, Josh Downs stands among the weakest pass-catching wide receivers in the league.

Last year, the fierce Miami Dolphins defense has given up a paltry 128.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing wideouts: the 9th-best in the league.

The leading projections forecast the Dolphins to run the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.6 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

When it comes to pocket protection (and the significance it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Dolphins grades out as the 10th-worst in the league last year.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Miami Dolphins to run on 37.5% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Last year, the anemic Colts run defense has given up a monstrous 4.37 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition’s ground game: the 24th-largest rate in football.

As it relates to the defensive tackles’ role in run defense, Indianapolis’s unit has been outstanding last year, projecting as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

The opposing side have run for the 10th-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 104.0 per game) versus the Miami Dolphins defense last year.

When it comes to the defensive ends’ role in run defense, Miami’s collection of DEs has been terrific last year, profiling as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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