Colts vs Vikings Match Player Stats | Week 9 Sunday 2024

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Colts vs Vikings Match Player Stats | Week 9 Sunday 2024

IND @ MIN

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 9 Indianapolis Colts at Minnesota Vikings
Todays Game is on Sunday, November 3rd
03/11/24 20:20:00 PM EST Kickoff

Key Match Player Stats to this Game

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 60.4% of their downs: the 8th-highest clip among all teams this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 130.2 offensive plays run: the 4th-most on the slate this week.

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.

The projections expect Justin Jefferson to notch 10.7 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 99th percentile among WRs.

The Colts pass defense has conceded the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (70.7%) versus WRs this year (70.7%).

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the model to see 130.2 offensive plays called: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.

The predictive model expects Jonathan Taylor to earn 19.1 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking him in the 95th percentile among RBs.

Jonathan Taylor has been a more integral piece of his team’s rushing attack this year (73.0% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (56.8%).

Jonathan Taylor’s 89.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year represents a substantial growth in his running proficiency over last year’s 76.0 mark.

In this week’s game, Aaron Jones is anticipated by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 81st percentile among running backs with 15.4 rush attempts.

Aaron Jones has rushed for many more adjusted yards per game (75.0) this season than he did last season (61.0).

Opposing squads have rushed for the 4th-most adjusted yards in the league (147 per game) versus the Colts defense this year.

Sam Darnold has thrown for a lot more adjusted yards per game (234.0) this year than he did last year (33.0).

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 2nd-highest rate in the NFL vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense this year (76.5% Adjusted Completion%).

The leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts to be the 4th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 63.4% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The Minnesota Vikings defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in the NFL (41.9 per game) this year.

Joe Flacco checks in as one of the best quarterbacks in football since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 283.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 100th percentile.

Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game

A running game script is indicated by the Vikings being a 5-point favorite in this week’s game.

The Vikings have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 51.1 plays per game.

Justin Jefferson has posted far fewer air yards this year (123.0 per game) than he did last year (139.0 per game).

Justin Jefferson’s 87.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season reflects a remarkable decrease in his receiving skills over last season’s 103.0 rate.

The Indianapolis cornerbacks project as the 4th-best CB corps in football this year in covering receivers.

The Colts are a 5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Colts to run on 36.6% of their chances: the 4th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

The Indianapolis Colts have called the 7th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 54.1 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Opposing squads have rushed for the 2nd-fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 79.0 per game) vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense this year.

The leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to be the 8th-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 39.6% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Indianapolis defensive tackles project as the 8th-best unit in the NFL this year in regard to run defense.

The Vikings defense has performed very well when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.49 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-fewest in the NFL.

When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, Minnesota’s unit has been very good this year, grading out as the 4th-best in the league.

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