
IND @ NE



Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, December 1st
01/12/24 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Indianapolis Colts grades out as the 4th-best in football this year.
This year, the porous Patriots defense has yielded a colossal 239.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 9th-worst in football.
As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, New England’s group of LBs has been very bad this year, projecting as the 4th-worst in football.
The Patriots are a 3-point underdog in this week’s game, likely creating a passing game script.
At the moment, the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the New England Patriots.
This year, the porous Colts defense has been torched for a massive 251.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing QBs: the 6th-most in the NFL.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 2nd-highest level in the NFL vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense this year (76.5% Adjusted Completion%).
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
This week’s line implies a rushing game script for the Colts, who are favored by 3 points.
The model projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 48.7% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The model projects the Colts to run the 10th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 64.0 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 53.8 plays per game.
With a lousy tally of 149.0 adjusted passing yards per game (16th percentile), Anthony Richardson has been among the weakest QBs in football this year.
Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 55.6% of their plays: the 10th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
The New England Patriots offensive line ranks as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Indianapolis’s group of CBs has been fantastic this year, projecting as the 4th-best in the NFL.
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