ARI @ IND





Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, October 12th
12/10/25 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff
Positives for the Arizona Cardinals Game Today
A running game script is indicated by the Colts being a 6.5-point favorite in this game.
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Colts to run on 43.7% of their plays: the 9th-greatest clip on the slate this week.
In this week’s game, Jonathan Taylor is predicted by the projections to slot into the 100th percentile when it comes to running backs with 21.1 rush attempts.
Jonathan Taylor has garnered 81.5% of his team’s carries this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile among RBs.
With an exceptional rate of 5.34 adjusted yards per carry (85th percentile), Jonathan Taylor places as one of the top pure rushers in football this year.
The Cardinals defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the most passes in the league (43.4 per game) this year.
The Indianapolis Colts O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all air attack statistics across the board.
Daniel Jones’s throwing accuracy has improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 63.4% to 69.6%.
Daniel Jones’s throwing effectiveness has gotten a boost this season, accumulating 8.02 adjusted yards-per-target vs a mere 6.13 mark last season.
This year, the feeble Cardinals defense has conceded a staggering 68.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing tight ends: the 4th-most in the NFL.
As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Arizona’s collection of safeties has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the 9th-worst in football.
The predictive model expects Michael Pittman to earn 7.9 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 86th percentile when it comes to WRs.
Michael Pittman has been a big part of his team’s passing offense, earning a Target Share of 23.3% this year, which ranks him in the 85th percentile among wide receivers.
Negatives with the Indianapolis Colts Game Today
At a massive 29.98 seconds per snap, the Colts offense rates as the 7th-most sluggish paced in football (context-neutralized) this year.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Jonathan Taylor’s 84.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year shows a material decrease in his rushing talent over last year’s 100.0 mark.
This year, the stout Cardinals run defense has yielded a mere 97.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 10th-best in football.
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Colts to pass on 56.3% of their plays: the 9th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Arizona’s group of CBs has been tremendous this year, projecting as the 9th-best in football.
Michael Pittman has totaled quite a few less air yards this year (64.0 per game) than he did last year (72.0 per game).
Michael Pittman’s ability to pick up extra yardage has diminished this year, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 3.70 rate last year.
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