Vikings vs Bears Match Player Stats | Week 12 Sunday 2024

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Vikings vs Bears Match Player Stats | Week 12 Sunday 2024

MIN @ CHI

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 12 Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears
Todays Game is on Sunday, November 24th
24/11/24 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff

Key Match Player Stats to this Game

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Vikings are favored this week, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their usual approach.

Our trusted projections expect Aaron Jones to total 16.1 carries in this week’s contest, on balance, placing him in the 92nd percentile among RBs.

Aaron Jones has received 56.0% of his offense’s run game usage this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile among running backs.

Aaron Jones’s 72.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year shows a remarkable progression in his running ability over last year’s 61.0 mark.

This year, the tough Bears run defense has given up a puny 5.00 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing rushing attacks: the 26th-smallest rate in football.

At the moment, the 7th-most pass-oriented team in football (62.5% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Minnesota Vikings.

The model projects Justin Jefferson to notch 9.2 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 96th percentile among wide receivers.

Justin Jefferson’s 78.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 70.9.

With a stellar 10.4 adjusted yards per target (90th percentile) this year, Justin Jefferson ranks among the top pass-catching wide receivers in the league.

A passing game script is implied by the Bears being a -3.5-point underdog in this week’s contest.

The Bears have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 60.5 plays per game.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game against the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.

In this week’s contest, D.J. Moore is projected by the predictive model to slot into the 91st percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.7 targets.

In regards to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Chicago Bears ranks as the 5th-best in football this year.

In this contest, Cole Kmet is anticipated by the predictive model to finish in the 85th percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.1 targets.

When talking about air yards, Cole Kmet ranks in the lofty 85th percentile among tight ends this year, averaging an impressive 30.0 per game.

In this contest, D’Andre Swift is expected by our trusted projection set to land in the 88th percentile when it comes to RBs with 15.5 carries.

Out of all RBs, D’Andre Swift ranks in the 89th percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 58.8% of the workload in his offense’s rushing attack.

With an impressive tally of 61.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (80th percentile), D’Andre Swift has been as one of the best pure runners in the league this year.

Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game

At the present time, the 6th-least run-oriented team in the NFL (37.5% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Vikings.

The leading projections forecast the Vikings to run the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The 9th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Vikings this year (a lowly 56.1 per game on average).

As it relates to the safeties’ role in defending against the run, Chicago’s safety corps has been fantastic this year, profiling as the 4th-best in the NFL.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.9 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense this year: 10th-fewest in the league.

After averaging 139.0 air yards per game last year, Justin Jefferson has regressed heavily this year, currently averaging 112.0 per game.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

D.J. Moore has been a much smaller piece of his team’s pass game this season (24.4% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (30.0%).

After accumulating 100.0 air yards per game last year, D.J. Moore has posted significant losses this year, currently sitting at 60.0 per game.

D.J. Moore’s 49.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season represents a noteable reduction in his pass-catching proficiency over last season’s 77.0 mark.

D.J. Moore’s receiving reliability have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 73.2% to 66.0%.

Cole Kmet has been a much smaller piece of his team’s passing game this season (13.7% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (20.4%).

Cole Kmet has totaled substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (41.0) this year than he did last year (48.0).

As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Minnesota’s group of LBs has been terrific this year, projecting as the 4th-best in football.

With a terrible tally of 3.92 adjusted yards per carry (25th percentile) this year, D’Andre Swift rates among the bottom RBs in the league at the position.

With a dreadful tally of 2.54 yards after contact (14th percentile) this year, D’Andre Swift has been among the worst RBs in the NFL.

This year, the tough Minnesota Vikings run defense has conceded a feeble 71.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the fewest in the league.

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