MNF: Vikings vs Bears Match Player Stats | Week 1 Monday 2025

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MNF: Vikings vs Bears Match Player Stats | Week 1 Monday 2025

MIN @ CHI

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 1 Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears
Todays Game is on Monday, September 8th
08/09/25 20:15:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Minnesota Vikings Game Today

Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Bears are projected by the predictive model to call 66.2 total plays in this game: the 3rd-highest number among all teams this week.

The 10th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Bears last year (a massive 58.9 per game on average).

The Minnesota Vikings defense has been a prominent pass funnel last year, tempting opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (35.8 per game) last year.

D.J. Moore has run a route on 97.2% of his offense’s dropbacks last year, ranking him in the 97th percentile among wide receivers.

The projections expect D.J. Moore to garner 8.3 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 91st percentile among WRs.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to have 131.4 plays on offense run: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.

The Minnesota Vikings have played in the 3rd-most “low wind” (4-mph or less) games in the league last year, which ought to mean lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense performance when facing windier weather in this game.

Our trusted projections expect Aaron Jones to earn 11.6 rush attempts in this contest, on average, putting him in the 79th percentile among running backs.

With a remarkable rate of 71.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (92nd percentile), Aaron Jones rates as one of the best RBs in the NFL last year.

Opposing offenses have run for the 2nd-most adjusted yards in the league (141 per game) versus the Chicago Bears defense last year.

At the present time, the 4th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (63.0% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Vikings.

Justin Jefferson has run a route on 98.4% of his team’s passing plays last year, ranking him in the 100th percentile among wide receivers.

The leading projections forecast Justin Jefferson to notch 9.7 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 98th percentile among WRs.

Justin Jefferson comes in as one of the leading WRs in the game last year, averaging an exceptional 89.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 99th percentile.

The Bears offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in the league last year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

The Chicago Bears pass defense has shown poor efficiency last year, conceding 8.30 adjusted yards-per-target: the 7th-most in the league.

Last year, the anemic Chicago Bears defense has allowed the 3rd-most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing squads: a whopping 5.93 YAC.

The predictive model expects T.J. Hockenson to accumulate 6.1 targets in this week’s game, on average, putting him in the 94th percentile among tight ends.

With an exceptional 17.8% Target Share (89th percentile) last year, T.J. Hockenson rates as one of the TEs with the highest volume in the league.

When talking about air yards, T.J. Hockenson grades out in the towering 96th percentile among tight ends last year, totaling a striking 52.0 per game.

This week, D’Andre Swift is predicted by the model to place in the 85th percentile when it comes to RBs with 12.9 carries.

D’Andre Swift has picked up 54.0 adjusted rushing yards per game last year, one of the highest marks in the league when it comes to running backs (79th percentile).

Last year, the porous Minnesota Vikings defense has yielded a whopping 246.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing teams: the 3rd-most in football.

Negatives with the Chicago Bears Game Today

D.J. Moore comes in as one of the least effective pass-catchers in football, averaging a lowly 7.57 adjusted yards-per-target last year while checking in at the 20th percentile among wideouts,The Vikings linebackers project as the 10th-best collection of LBs in the NFL last year in covering pass-catchers.

Our trusted projections expect the Vikings to be the 4th-least run-centric offense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 37.0% run rate.

The predictive model expects Aaron Jones to be a much smaller part of his team’s running game in this contest (41.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been last year (59.7% in games he has played).

As it relates to the safeties’ role in defending against the run, Chicago’s collection of safeties has been phenomenal last year, grading out as the best in football.

Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Bears, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 30.6 per game) last year.

Last year, the tough Bears defense has given up a puny 125.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wideouts: the 6th-best in football.

The Bears cornerbacks grade out as the 3rd-best group of CBs in the league last year in pass coverage.

The Vikings pass defense has yielded the 9th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (73.7%) vs. tight ends last year (73.7%).

With a feeble 68.8% Adjusted Catch% (19th percentile) last year, T.J. Hockenson places among the most unreliable receivers in the league when it comes to TEs.

With a lackluster 3.34 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (15th percentile) last year, T.J. Hockenson has been as one of the leading TE receiving threats in the NFL in the open field.

The Bears safeties project as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL last year when it comes to rushing the passer.

While D’Andre Swift has accounted for 62.1% of his team’s carries in games he has played last year, the projections expect him to be much less involved in Chicago’s running game in this game at 46.5%.

With a dreadful rate of 3.62 adjusted yards per carry (8th percentile) last year, D’Andre Swift rates among the bottom RBs in the NFL at the position.

Last year, the fierce Minnesota Vikings run defense has yielded a mere 90.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing squads: the 2nd-fewest in football.

The Vikings safeties profile as the 8th-best group of safeties in the league last year when it comes to run defense.

Last year, the daunting Minnesota Vikings defense has conceded the 6th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing teams: a paltry 7.5 yards.

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