Vikings vs Jaguars Match Player Stats | Week 10 Sunday 2024

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Vikings vs Jaguars Match Player Stats | Week 10 Sunday 2024

MIN @ JAX

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 10 Minnesota Vikings at Jacksonville Jaguars
Todays Game is on Sunday, November 10th
10/11/24 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff

Key Match Player Stats to this Game

With a 4-point advantage, the Vikings are favored in this week’s game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their standard approach.

This week, Aaron Jones is forecasted by the predictive model to finish in the 85th percentile among running backs with 16.0 carries.

After accounting for 50.2% of his team’s rushing play calls last season, Aaron Jones has been more involved in the running game this season, now taking on 61.4%.

Aaron Jones has run for a lot more adjusted yards per game (74.0) this year than he did last year (61.0).

Right now, the 8th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (63.1% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Minnesota Vikings.

Opposing offenses have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in football.

Sam Darnold has passed for a lot more adjusted yards per game (240.0) this season than he did last season (33.0).

With a remarkable 69.9% Adjusted Completion% (86th percentile) this year, Sam Darnold stands as one of the most accurate QBs in the NFL.

Sam Darnold’s 8.59 adjusted yards-per-target this year represents a noteworthy progression in his throwing efficiency over last year’s 7.2% figure.

This week, Justin Jefferson is forecasted by the predictive model to place in the 97th percentile among wide receivers with 9.9 targets.

Justin Jefferson has been a more integral piece of his team’s pass attack this season (33.3% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (28.0%).

Justin Jefferson profiles as one of the most effective pass-catchers in the league, averaging a stellar 10.57 adjusted yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 91st percentile among WRs.

Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game

The leading projections forecast the Vikings to be the 8th-least run-centric team in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 36.9% run rate.

The model projects the Vikings to call the 5th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The 6th-fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the Vikings this year (a measly 52.8 per game on average).

As it relates to the defensive ends’ role in defending against the run, Jacksonville’s group of DEs has been terrific this year, profiling as the 5th-best in the league.

After accumulating 139.0 air yards per game last year, Justin Jefferson has seen a big downtick this year, currently sitting at 115.0 per game.

Justin Jefferson has totaled many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (91.0) this year than he did last year (103.0).

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