Bears vs Vikings Match Player Stats | Week 11 Sunday 2025

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CHI @ MIN

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 11 Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings
Todays Game is on Sunday, November 16th
16/11/25 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Chicago Bears Game Today

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Vikings to pass on 59.3% of their chances: the 9th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.

The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 131.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.

Justin Jefferson has run a route on 96.8% of his team’s passing plays this year, putting him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.

This year, the deficient Bears defense has conceded a monstrous 167.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing WRs: the 6th-most in the league.

The Chicago Bears defense has had the 6th-worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, conceding 5.25 adjusted yards-per-carry.

A passing game script is indicated by the Bears being a -3-point underdog in this game.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to have 131.6 total plays run: the 4th-most on the slate this week.

The 7th-most plays in football have been run by the Chicago Bears this year (a monstrous 59.7 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

As it relates to pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Bears profiles as the 4th-best in the league this year.

Negatives with the Minnesota Vikings Game Today

This game’s spread indicates a running game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 3 points.

The 10th-fewest plays in football have been run by the Vikings this year (only 53.4 per game on average).

Justin Jefferson has compiled substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (68.0) this year than he did last year (89.0).

Justin Jefferson’s receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 68.4% to 60.7%.

Justin Jefferson’s pass-game efficiency has declined this year, compiling a mere 8.11 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 10.12 rate last year.

The projections expect the Vikings as the 9th-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 40.7% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Aaron Jones has been a less important option in his offense’s run game this season (37.5% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (59.6%).

Aaron Jones has rushed for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (28.0) this year than he did last year (71.0).

Opposing QBs have averaged 28.9 pass attempts per game versus the Vikings defense this year: 4th-fewest in the league.

Opposing quarterbacks have passed for the 8th-fewest yards in the league (just 199.0 adjusted yards per game) vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense this year.

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