Falcons vs Buccaneers Match Player Stats | Week 5 Thursday Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons

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Falcons vs Buccaneers Match Player Stats | Week 5 Thursday Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons

TB @ ATL

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 5 Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons
Todays Game is on Thursday, October 3rd
03/10/24 20:15:00 PM EST Kickoff

Key Match Player Stats to this Game

A throwing game script is implied by the Buccaneers being a -3-point underdog in this week’s game.

Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers as the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 63.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 129.9 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The Falcons defense has been something of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in the league (34.5 per game) this year.

Chris Godwin has compiled many more adjusted receiving yards per game (85.0) this season than he did last season (61.0).

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Atlanta Falcons are anticipated by the model to call 65.4 plays on offense in this game: the 4th-highest number among all teams this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The predictive model expects Kirk Cousins to throw 35.9 passes in this contest, on balance: the 7th-most among all quarterbacks.

Opposing QBs have averaged 38.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Buccaneers defense this year: 4th-most in football.

This year, the shaky Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has surrendered a staggering 229.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing teams: the 9th-worst in football.

With a terrific total of 252.0 adjusted passing yards per game (87th percentile), Baker Mayfield has been among the leading QBs in the NFL this year.

In this week’s contest, Drake London is projected by our trusted projection set to slot into the 97th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 9.2 targets.

Drake London has been a much bigger part of his offense’s passing offense this year (28.4% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (23.3%).

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The model projects Rachaad White to accumulate 11.8 carries in this week’s contest, on average, putting him in the 77th percentile among RBs.

This year, the poor Falcons run defense has been torched for a monstrous 159.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the 3rd-most in the league.

In this week’s contest, Bijan Robinson is projected by our trusted projection set to land in the 93rd percentile among RBs with 15.6 rush attempts.

Bijan Robinson has been a more integral piece of his offense’s ground game this season (63.2% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (41.7%).

This year, the stout Buccaneers run defense has given up a paltry 5.48 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing teams: the 32nd-lowest rate in football.

In this contest, Kyle Pitts is anticipated by the projections to secure a spot in the 82nd percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.5 targets.

Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game

After accruing 76.0 air yards per game last year, Chris Godwin has gotten worse this year, currently sitting at 46.0 per game.

The Tampa Bay O-line profiles as the 8th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all passing attack stats across the board.

The Falcons pass defense has excelled when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.27 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-fewest in football.

The Falcons safeties profile as the 8th-best unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

With a 3-point advantage, the Falcons are favored in this week’s contest, suggesting more of an emphasis on running than their standard game plan.

The Atlanta Falcons have run the 5th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 50.2 plays per game.

As it relates to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all passing game metrics), the offensive line of the Atlanta Falcons grades out as the 5th-worst in football this year.

Kirk Cousins has thrown for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (211.0) this season than he did last season (293.0).

Kirk Cousins’s 65.5% Adjusted Completion% this year signifies a noteable regression in his passing accuracy over last year’s 68.6% rate.

This year, the strong Atlanta Falcons defense has conceded the 5th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing offenses: a puny 6.6 yards.

This year, the daunting Falcons defense has yielded the 3rd-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing squads: a paltry 3.7 YAC.

Drake London’s 7.4 adjusted yards per target this season reflects an impressive decline in his pass-catching skills over last season’s 8.8 mark.

This year, the imposing Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has conceded the 3rd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wide receivers: a mere 6.0 yards.

After totaling 29.0 air yards per game last year, Cade Otton has been a disappointment this year, now sitting at 18.0 per game.

Cade Otton’s 5.7 adjusted yards per target this year shows an impressive diminishment in his pass-catching ability over last year’s 7.0 mark.

The Falcons pass defense has allowed the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (70.1%) vs. TEs since the start of last season (70.1%).

This year, the formidable Atlanta Falcons pass defense has given up the 6th-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing tight ends: a paltry 3.3 YAC.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to run on 36.2% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Rachaad White has been a much smaller piece of his offense’s running game this season (43.8% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (63.2%).

Rachaad White’s 28.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season reflects a meaningful reduction in his running talent over last season’s 58.0 mark.

After totaling 62.0 air yards per game last year, Kyle Pitts has seen a big downtick this year, currently boasting 36.0 per game.

Kyle Pitts’s 30.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive usage) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 44.8.

Kyle Pitts has notched significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (22.0) this year than he did last year (36.0).

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