Bears vs Panthers Match Player Stats | Week 5 Sunday Carolina Panthers at Chicago Bears

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Bears vs Panthers Match Player Stats | Week 5 Sunday Carolina Panthers at Chicago Bears

CAR @ CHI

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 5 Carolina Panthers at Chicago Bears
Todays Game is on Sunday, October 6th
06/10/24 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff

Key Match Player Stats to this Game

The projections expect the Chicago Bears to call the 2nd-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.0 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The 7th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Bears this year (a monstrous 60.2 per game on average).

The projections expect Keenan Allen to garner 7.3 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to wideouts.

Keenan Allen has notched a massive 97.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 93rd percentile when it comes to wideouts.

The Panthers pass defense has been gouged for the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (67.6%) versus WRs since the start of last season (67.6%).

This game’s line implies a passing game script for the Panthers, who are -5.5-point underdogs.

The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 129.3 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The leading projections forecast Diontae Johnson to total 11.1 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to WRs.

Diontae Johnson’s 30.6% Target Share this season represents a substantial growth in his pass attack workload over last season’s 24.0% rate.

After accruing 86.0 air yards per game last season, Diontae Johnson has been rising this season, now averaging 101.0 per game.

The predictive model expects Cole Kmet to accrue 4.7 targets in this week’s game, on average, putting him in the 85th percentile among TEs.

After totaling 32.0 air yards per game last year, Cole Kmet has been rising this year, now pacing 39.0 per game.

Cole Kmet ranks as one of the leading TE receiving threats this year, averaging an impressive 43.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 93rd percentile.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 10th-highest rate in the league vs. the Panthers defense since the start of last season (71.7% Adjusted Completion%).

The Carolina Panthers safeties rank as the 4th-worst safety corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

Andy Dalton’s 62.0% Adjusted Completion% this year reflects a noteworthy improvement in his passing precision over last year’s 56.2% rate.

In this week’s contest, D’Andre Swift is anticipated by the model to finish in the 79th percentile when it comes to running backs with 12.2 rush attempts.

The Carolina Panthers defense owns the 3rd-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks since the start of last season, conceding 4.92 adjusted yards-per-carry.

The leading projections forecast the Carolina Panthers to be the 9th-most run-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 41.8% run rate.

Our trusted projections expect Chuba Hubbard to earn 13.2 rush attempts in this week’s contest, on average, ranking him in the 85th percentile among running backs.

With a remarkable total of 54.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (80th percentile), Chuba Hubbard places as one of the top RBs in the league since the start of last season.

Chuba Hubbard’s ground effectiveness has been refined this season, totaling 4.97 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to just 3.76 rate last season.

Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game

The Bears are a 5.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Bears to be the 9th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 55.3% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

While Keenan Allen has accounted for 30.3% of his offense’s targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the model projects him to be a less important option in Chicago’s pass game in this game at 22.4%.

Keenan Allen’s sure-handedness have declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 73.1% to 63.4%.

Keenan Allen’s receiving effectiveness has tailed off this year, averaging just 4.36 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 8.82 figure last year.

At the moment, the 9th-least pass-centric offense in football (58.2% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Panthers.

The lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Panthers this year (a measly 40.0 per game on average).

Diontae Johnson’s 53.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this year signifies a noteable diminishment in his receiving ability over last year’s 61.3% rate.

Diontae Johnson’s receiving effectiveness has tailed off this season, notching a measly 6.51 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 8.41 rate last season.

This year, the strong Chicago Bears defense has allowed a measly 111.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing wideouts: the 7th-fewest in the NFL.

Cole Kmet’s 34.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive usage) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 41.2.

Cole Kmet’s ability to generate extra yardage has diminished this season, totaling a mere 2.44 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 3.85 rate last season.

This year, the strong Carolina Panthers pass defense has allowed the 10th-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing tight ends: a puny 3.9 YAC.

Since the start of last season, the imposing Panthers defense has given up the 10th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing teams: a paltry 7.4 yards.

Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the 8th-fewest yards in the league (just 189.0 adjusted yards per game) vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year.

The Chicago Bears cornerbacks profile as the 10th-best group of CBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

While D’Andre Swift has accounted for 54.4% of his team’s carries in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a much smaller part of Chicago’s ground game in this week’s game at 41.4%.

D’Andre Swift’s 37.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season illustrates an impressive reduction in his rushing proficiency over last season’s 62.0 mark.

D’Andre Swift’s 2.8 adjusted yards per carry this year shows a noteworthy reduction in his running ability over last year’s 4.3 figure.

While Chuba Hubbard has garnered 60.4% of his team’s rush attempts in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be much less involved in Carolina’s ground game in this week’s contest at 50.0%.

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