Bears vs Vikings Match Player Stats | Week 15 Monday 2024

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Bears vs Vikings Match Player Stats | Week 15 Monday 2024

CHI @ MIN

Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings Week 15Bears vs VikingsBears vs VikingsBears vs VikingsBears vs VikingsBears vs VikingsBears vs Vikings

Todays Matchup Details

Week 15 Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings
Todays Game is on Monday, December 16th
16/12/24 20:00:00 PM EST Kickoff

Key Match Player Stats to this Game

Right now, the 5th-most pass-oriented team in football (63.6% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Minnesota Vikings.

The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.

In this week’s game, T.J. Hockenson is projected by the projection model to land in the 80th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 4.7 targets.

T.J. Hockenson’s 82.1% Adjusted Catch% this year indicates a noteable gain in his receiving ability over last year’s 75.2% rate.

T.J. Hockenson’s 9.1 adjusted yards per target this season represents a significant improvement in his pass-catching skills over last season’s 7.7 mark.

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Bears are giant underdogs in this week’s game, implying much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their usual approach.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Bears to pass on 62.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest frequency on the slate this week.

The 8th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Chicago Bears this year (a whopping 59.8 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Vikings defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (38.4 per game) this year.

Sam Darnold’s 254.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year illustrates an impressive gain in his passing talent over last year’s 33.0 rate.

With an outstanding 68.2% Adjusted Completion% (76th percentile) this year, Sam Darnold has been among the most on-target quarterbacks in the league.

Sam Darnold’s 8.55 adjusted yards-per-target this year indicates an impressive improvement in his passing effectiveness over last year’s 7.2% rate.

Justin Jefferson has run a route on 99.5% of his team’s passing plays this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile among wide receivers.

In this contest, Justin Jefferson is expected by the predictive model to find himself in the 96th percentile when it comes to WRs with 9.3 targets.

With an impressive 10.7 adjusted yards per target (95th percentile) this year, Justin Jefferson has been among the leading WRs in the NFL in the NFL.

The predictive model expects Aaron Jones to earn 15.2 carries in this week’s contest, on balance, putting him in the 88th percentile among RBs.

Aaron Jones has received 57.8% of his offense’s rushing play calls this year, putting him in the 88th percentile among running backs.

Aaron Jones has run for a lot more adjusted yards per game (72.0) this year than he did last year (61.0).

Opposing offenses have run for the 5th-most adjusted yards in football (141 per game) vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year.

With an outstanding 42.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (87th percentile) this year, Cole Kmet ranks among the leading pass-catching tight ends in the league.

Our trusted projections expect D’Andre Swift to garner 11.5 carries in this week’s contest, on average, placing him in the 75th percentile when it comes to RBs.

D’Andre Swift has grinded out 54.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the largest marks in the league among running backs (76th percentile).

Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game

This game’s line suggests an extreme rushing game script for the Vikings, who are a massive favorite by 7 points.

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Vikings are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run just 61.8 plays on offense in this game: the fewest among all teams this week.

The Vikings have run the 5th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 55.1 plays per game.

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.8 pass attempts per game versus the Bears defense this year: 10th-fewest in football.

T.J. Hockenson’s 18.4% Target Share this season illustrates a material decline in his air attack utilization over last season’s 23.8% mark.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see just 125.3 total plays called: the fewest on the slate this week.

When it comes to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Minnesota’s unit has been fantastic this year, projecting as the 9th-best in football.

The Bears safeties rank as the 5th-best unit in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

After accruing 139.0 air yards per game last season, Justin Jefferson has produced significantly less this season, now pacing 102.0 per game.

After accumulating 100.0 air yards per game last season, D.J. Moore has been a disappointment this season, now averaging 67.0 per game.

D.J. Moore’s 59.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 76.9.

D.J. Moore has posted a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (59.0) this season than he did last season (77.0).

D.J. Moore’s possession skills have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 73.2% to 66.7%.

Right now, the 5th-least run-focused offense in the NFL (36.4% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Vikings.

The Chicago Bears safeties profile as the best group of safeties in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

Cole Kmet’s 12.1% Target Rate this year shows a noteable diminishment in his passing attack usage over last year’s 20.4% figure.

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears to run on 37.8% of their downs: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

This year, the imposing Minnesota Vikings run defense has yielded a mere 83.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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