
DET @ MIN







Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, October 20th
20/10/24 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
This week’s spread implies a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 3 points.
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Lions are projected by the projections to call 66.4 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.
The Detroit Lions have run the 9th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 59.6 plays per game.
The projections expect Jahmyr Gibbs to notch 11.6 rush attempts this week, on balance, putting him in the 76th percentile among running backs.
With a terrific total of 73.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (88th percentile), Jahmyr Gibbs ranks among the leading RBs in the NFL this year.
The Vikings are a 3-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 63.9% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest clip among all teams this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Detroit Lions defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (42.2 per game) this year.
The model projects Justin Jefferson to notch 11.3 targets in this week’s contest, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile among WRs.
The Minnesota Vikings defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, compelling opposing teams to attempt the most passes in the NFL (47.4 per game) this year.
With an exceptional total of 257.0 adjusted passing yards per game (87th percentile), Jared Goff rates as one of the top passers in the league this year.
In this game, Amon-Ra St. Brown is expected by the projection model to finish in the 99th percentile when it comes to WRs with 10.6 targets.
Sam Darnold has passed for quite a few more adjusted yards per game (229.0) this season than he did last season (33.0).
The model projects Sam LaPorta to accrue 4.5 targets in this week’s game, on average, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among tight ends.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.
This year, the formidable Vikings run defense has conceded a mere 63.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the 2nd-fewest in football.
The Minnesota Vikings defensive ends project as the 4th-best collection of DEs in football this year in regard to stopping the run.
The leading projections forecast the Vikings to run the 10th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.2 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The Minnesota Vikings have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 52.6 plays per game.
Justin Jefferson has compiled far fewer air yards this season (125.0 per game) than he did last season (139.0 per game).
Justin Jefferson has put up substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (80.0) this year than he did last year (103.0).
Justin Jefferson’s 58.2% Adjusted Completion Rate this year illustrates a meaningful diminishment in his pass-catching skills over last year’s 67.7% rate.
The Vikings defense has performed very well when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.05 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-fewest in the league.
The Minnesota Vikings linebackers project as the 3rd-best LB corps in football this year in defending receivers.
Amon-Ra St. Brown has totaled far fewer air yards this year (61.0 per game) than he did last year (76.0 per game).
Amon-Ra St. Brown’s 66.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season shows a substantial decrease in his pass-catching skills over last season’s 98.0 mark.
Amon-Ra St. Brown’s receiving effectiveness has worsened this season, totaling just 7.81 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 9.89 mark last season.
Amon-Ra St. Brown’s ability to grind out extra yardage has diminished this year, compiling a measly 2.58 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 5.55 rate last year.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 4th-lowest clip in the league vs. the Lions defense this year (65.1% Adjusted Completion%).
This year, the stout Lions defense has yielded the 3rd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing offenses: a mere 6.6 yards.
When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Detroit’s group of safeties has been tremendous this year, projecting as the best in the NFL.
Sam LaPorta has totaled far fewer air yards this season (17.0 per game) than he did last season (53.0 per game).
Sam LaPorta’s 20.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 45.9.
Sam LaPorta has put up quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (34.0) this year than he did last year (50.0).
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