Vikings vs Giants Match Player Stats | Week 16 Sunday 2025

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MIN @ NYG

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 16 Minnesota Vikings at New York Giants
Todays Game is on Sunday, December 21st
21/12/25 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Minnesota Vikings Game Today

The Vikings are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a running game script.

The model projects Aaron Jones to accumulate 13.7 rush attempts in this game, on average, putting him in the 77th percentile among running backs.

The New York Giants defense has had the worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, surrendering 5.80 adjusted yards-per-carry.

When it comes to the safeties’ role in run defense, New York’s safety corps has been awful this year, ranking as the worst in the league. in the league.

A passing game script is indicated by the Giants being a -3-point underdog in this week’s game.

The model projects the New York Giants to call the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.0 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The 6th-highest number of plays in football have been called by the New York Giants this year (a massive 60.4 per game on average).

In regards to protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Giants profiles as the 8th-best in football this year.

The predictive model expects Wan’Dale Robinson to accrue 9.0 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 93rd percentile among WRs.

Wan’Dale Robinson has compiled far more air yards this year (75.0 per game) than he did last year (41.0 per game).

Opposing QBs have passed for the 10th-most adjusted yards in football (243.0 per game) against the New York Giants defense this year.

The New York Giants pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency this year, allowing 7.82 adjusted yards-per-target: the 10th-most in football.

As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, New York’s group of safeties has been dreadful this year, profiling as the 8th-worst in the league.

With a sizeable 96.8% Route Participation Rate (98th percentile) this year, Justin Jefferson stands among the wideouts with the biggest workloads in football.

In this game, Justin Jefferson is predicted by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 95th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 9.4 targets.

This year, the feeble New York Giants defense has been gouged for a colossal 157.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wide receivers: the 7th-most in the NFL.

This year, the feeble Giants defense has given up the 6th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing wide receivers: a monstrous 8.70 yards.

The leading projections forecast the New York Giants to be the 3rd-most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 48.6% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The opposing side have rushed for the 9th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (130 per game) vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense this year.

The model projects T.J. Hockenson to earn 4.9 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 79th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

T.J. Hockenson’s 78.9% Adjusted Catch% this season reflects a remarkable boost in his receiving talent over last season’s 68.8% rate.

Negatives with the New York Giants Game Today

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Vikings are expected by the predictive model to call just 63.9 total plays in this game: the 11th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The Vikings have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 51.1 plays per game.

Aaron Jones has been a much smaller piece of his offense’s running game this season (44.9% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (59.6%).

Aaron Jones has run for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (32.0) this year than he did last year (71.0).

The predictive model expects the Giants as the 3rd-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 51.4% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The model projects Jaxson Dart to throw 31.2 passes in this contest, on balance: the 6th-fewest among all quarterbacks.

Opposing teams have averaged 30.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Vikings defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.

With a terrible record of 151.0 adjusted passing yards per game (18th percentile), Jaxson Dart places as one of the worst quarterbacks in football this year.

This year, the strong Minnesota Vikings defense has conceded a measly 183.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing teams: the best in the league.

Wan’Dale Robinson’s possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 72.0% to 68.6%.

Wan’Dale Robinson’s 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year signifies a noteable diminishment in his efficiency in the open field over last year’s 3.9% rate.

The Minnesota Vikings defense has allowed the 5th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 116.0) versus wideouts this year.

After totaling 104.0 air yards per game last year, Justin Jefferson has posted significant losses this year, currently pacing 91.0 per game.

Justin Jefferson has notched quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (51.0) this year than he did last year (89.0).

The Minnesota Vikings defensive tackles project as the best unit in football this year with their run defense.

The Minnesota Vikings defense has yielded the 9th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 46.0) to TEs this year.

This year, the fierce Vikings defense has allowed the 4th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing tight ends: a mere 6.8 yards.

The Minnesota Vikings linebackers grade out as the 8th-best collection of LBs in the NFL this year in regard to rushing the passer.

T.J. Hockenson has put up quite a few less air yards this season (22.0 per game) than he did last season (54.0 per game).

This year, the tough Giants defense has yielded a measly 72.0% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 6th-best rate in the NFL.

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