
MIN @ LA







Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Monday, January 13th
13/01/25 20:00:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
Our trusted projections expect the Vikings to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 60.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect this game to have the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 130.3 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
The leading projections forecast T.J. Hockenson to earn 6.8 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
This year, the porous Rams defense has given up the 2nd-most yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing tight ends: a whopping 5.53 YAC.
The Rams may pass less in this game (and hand the ball off more) given that they be forced to use backup QB Jimmy Garoppolo.
Our trusted projections expect the Rams to be the 3rd-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 60.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to have 130.3 plays on offense run: the 3rd-most among all games this week.
Opposing offenses have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Vikings defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
With a remarkable 31.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (77th percentile) since the start of last season, Tyler Higbee stands as one of the top TEs in the pass game in the league.
In this game, Aaron Jones is anticipated by the projections to slot into the 83rd percentile among RBs with 14.3 rush attempts.
Out of all running backs, Aaron Jones grades out in the 88th percentile for carries this year, accounting for 59.6% of the workload in his offense’s rushing attack.
With a stellar rate of 70.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (92nd percentile), Aaron Jones stands among the best running backs in the league this year.
This year, the stout Los Angeles Rams run defense has surrendered a measly 4.74 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing squads: the 24th-smallest rate in the NFL.
The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may drop.
In this week’s game, Kyren Williams is forecasted by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 95th percentile when it comes to running backs with 19.5 carries.
Among all RBs, Kyren Williams grades out in the 100th percentile for carries this year, accounting for 77.4% of the workload in his offense’s ground game.
In this contest, Sam Darnold is anticipated by the predictive model to wind up with the 3rd-most pass attempts among all QBs with 36.7.,Sam Darnold’s 256.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season marks a significant improvement in his passing talent over last season’s 33.0 rate.
Justin Jefferson has run a route on 99.2% of his team’s passing plays this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
The model projects Justin Jefferson to garner 10.6 targets in this week’s contest, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile among WRs.
Puka Nacua checks in as one of the top wide receivers in the game this year, averaging a fantastic 93.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 99th percentile.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
After totaling 63.0 air yards per game last season, T.J. Hockenson has seen a big downtick this season, now averaging 52.0 per game.
T.J. Hockenson’s 39.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive usage) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 51.5.
T.J. Hockenson has accrued quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (44.0) this season than he did last season (63.0).
T.J. Hockenson’s receiving reliability have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 75.2% to 68.7%.
The Rams pass defense has given up the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (72.6%) to tight ends this year (72.6%).
In regards to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams profiles as the worst in football this year.
The Minnesota Vikings pass defense has surrendered the 9th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (73.6%) vs. TEs this year (73.6%).
The Vikings linebackers grade out as the 10th-best unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
The leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings as the 2nd-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 39.3% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
As it relates to the defensive ends’ role in defending against the run, Los Angeles’s group of DEs has been exceptional this year, grading out as the best in the league.
The Minnesota Vikings pass defense has displayed good efficiency this year, surrendering 7.48 adjusted yards-per-target: the 6th-fewest in the league.
The predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams as the 3rd-least run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 39.7% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Kyren Williams’s 84.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year reflects a substantial regression in his running prowess over last year’s 99.0 figure.
This year, the formidable Vikings run defense has surrendered a feeble 90.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the 2nd-best in the NFL.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 4th-lowest rate in the NFL against the Rams defense this year (67.2% Adjusted Completion%).
Justin Jefferson has totaled far fewer air yards this year (105.0 per game) than he did last year (139.0 per game).
Justin Jefferson’s 89.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season reflects a significant regression in his pass-catching talent over last season’s 103.0 figure.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has yielded the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (59.3%) versus WRs this year (59.3%).
Puka Nacua’s 72.1% Route% this season reflects a substantial diminishment in his passing attack utilization over last season’s 91.7% rate.
After averaging 89.0 air yards per game last season, Puka Nacua has significantly declined this season, currently averaging 75.0 per game.
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