Bengals vs Vikings Match Player Stats | Week 3 Sunday 2025

|

CIN @ MIN

Cincinnati Bengals at Minnesota Vikings Week 3Bengals vs VikingsBengals vs VikingsBengals vs VikingsBengals vs VikingsBengals vs VikingsBengals vs Vikings

Todays Matchup Details

Week 3 Cincinnati Bengals at Minnesota Vikings
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 21st
21/09/25 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Cincinnati Bengals Game Today

The Minnesota Vikings may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more carries) as a result of being be starting backup quarterback Carson Wentz.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses have averaged 34.5 pass attempts per game versus the Bengals defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in the league.

Justin Jefferson has run a route on 99.2% of his offense’s passing plays since the start of last season, putting him in the 100th percentile among wideouts.

Our trusted projections expect Justin Jefferson to total 10.6 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile among wideouts.

Since the start of last season, the feeble Cincinnati Bengals defense has given up a whopping 240.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 5th-worst in the NFL.

Since the start of last season, the anemic Cincinnati Bengals defense has conceded the 10th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing offenses: a monstrous 8.02 yards.

In this contest, T.J. Hockenson is expected by the predictive model to place in the 95th percentile among TEs with 6.4 targets.

In regards to air yards, T.J. Hockenson grades out in the towering 96th percentile among tight ends since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 49.0 per game.

The Cincinnati Bengals will be rolling with backup quarterback Jake Browning in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

A passing game script is suggested by the Bengals being a -3-point underdog in this week’s game.

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.1% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest frequency on the slate this week.

Right now, the 8th-fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Cincinnati Bengals.

The Minnesota Vikings defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (35.0 per game) since the start of last season.

The Vikings rank as the 7th-most run-heavy offense in football (adjusted for context) this year with a 41.2% run rate.

The leading projections forecast Jordan Mason to notch 17.4 rush attempts in this week’s game, on balance, putting him in the 92nd percentile among RBs.

Our trusted projections expect Jordan Mason to be a more important option in his offense’s rushing attack in this contest (64.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (45.0% in games he has played).

Jordan Mason has grinded out 66.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the largest figures in football among running backs (90th percentile).

The predictive model expects Chase Brown to accumulate 18.1 rush attempts in this week’s game, on average, ranking him in the 94th percentile among running backs.

While Chase Brown has garnered 66.9% of his offense’s rush attempts in games he has played since the start of last season, the predictive model expects him to be much more involved in Cincinnati’s rushing attack in this game at 81.8%.

Chase Brown has picked up 61.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the biggest figures in the league among running backs (86th percentile).

The Minnesota Vikings defensive ends grade out as the 2nd-worst group of DEs in the NFL since the start of last season with their run defense.

Negatives with the Minnesota Vikings Game Today

With a 3-point advantage, the Vikings are favored in this week’s contest, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their standard approach.

With a 58.8% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 7th-least pass-heavy team in football has been the Vikings.

Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to be the 4th-slowest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 29.13 seconds per snap.

Justin Jefferson’s possession skills have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 68.4% to 55.6%.

Justin Jefferson’s 8.8 adjusted yards per target this year conveys a meaningful regression in his pass-catching skills over last year’s 10.1 figure.

When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Cincinnati’s unit has been tremendous since the start of last season, ranking as the 7th-best in the NFL.

T.J. Hockenson’s possession skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 68.8% to 50.4%.

T.J. Hockenson’s receiving efficiency has diminished this year, notching just 3.35 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 7.42 mark last year.

When it comes to pocket protection (and the significance it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Cincinnati Bengals grades out as the worst in the league since the start of last season.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 8th-lowest clip in the NFL versus the Minnesota Vikings defense since the start of last season (68.9% Adjusted Completion%).

Jordan Mason’s running efficiency has tailed off this year, averaging a mere 3.80 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 5.43 figure last year.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to run on 34.9% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.

Opposing squads have run for the 5th-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 98.0 per game) vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense since the start of last season.

Ja’Marr Chase’s talent in picking up extra yardage have declined this year, compiling a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 5.94 mark last year.

Latest Minnesota Vikings Matches

Latest Cincinnati Bengals Matches