MIN @ DAL



Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, December 14th
14/12/25 20:20:00 PM EST Kickoff
Positives for the Minnesota Vikings Game Today
The Vikings are a 6-point underdog in this week’s contest, likely creating a passing game script.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Vikings to pass on 60.5% of their chances: the 8th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.
The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inciting opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (38.0 per game) this year.
Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the 3rd-most adjusted yards in the NFL (267.0 per game) vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year.
Our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to be the 8th-most pass-focused team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 62.2% pass rate.
Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Cowboys are anticipated by the projection model to call 65.3 total plays in this contest: the 9th-highest number among all teams this week.
The 7th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a colossal 59.8 per game on average).
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Dak Prescott has thrown for significantly more adjusted yards per game (274.0) this year than he did last year (244.0).
Negatives with the Dallas Cowboys Game Today
With regard to a defense’s influence on tempo, at 29.47 seconds per play, the predictive model expects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 3rd-slowest in the league (in a neutral context) right now.
This game’s line implies a running game script for the Cowboys, who are favored by 6 points.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.5 pass attempts per game versus the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the league.
The Dallas Cowboys O-line profiles as the 5th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.
This year, the tough Vikings defense has given up a puny 178.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing offenses: the 2nd-fewest in the league.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 10th-lowest clip in the NFL against the Vikings defense this year (68.4% Adjusted Completion%).
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