
MIN @ LA







Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Thursday, October 24th
24/10/24 20:15:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-most plays run among all games this week at 130.4 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
In this game, Aaron Jones is projected by the predictive model to finish in the 78th percentile among RBs with 11.7 carries.
Aaron Jones has garnered 53.4% of his offense’s run game usage this year, putting him in the 84th percentile among running backs.
Aaron Jones’s 76.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year represents a noteable progression in his running prowess over last year’s 61.0 figure.
Opposing offenses have run for the 2nd-most adjusted yards in the NFL (161 per game) vs. the Rams defense this year.
An extreme running game script is implied by the Rams being a heavy 7-point favorite this week.
The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Rams to call the 3rd-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
In this game, Kyren Williams is expected by the predictive model to place in the 96th percentile when it comes to RBs with 15.9 rush attempts.
Opposing offenses have averaged 47.4 pass attempts per game versus the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: most in football.
In this week’s game, Cooper Kupp is expected by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 99th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 10.7 targets.
The Vikings defense has allowed the most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (207.0) vs. wideouts this year.
The predictive model expects the Minnesota Vikings as the 8th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 60.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Sam Darnold’s 229.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year signifies a noteworthy growth in his passing proficiency over last year’s 33.0 mark.
Sam Darnold’s pass-game efficiency has gotten better this season, accumulating 8.36 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a mere 7.18 rate last season.
The predictive model expects Colby Parkinson to earn 4.6 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile among TEs.
After accumulating 13.0 air yards per game last season, Colby Parkinson has been rising this season, currently boasting 36.0 per game.
In this week’s game, Justin Jefferson is anticipated by the projection model to rank in the 100th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 11.5 targets.
Justin Jefferson has been a more integral piece of his team’s passing offense this season (34.9% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (28.0%).
The model projects Matthew Stafford to throw 37.0 passes in this week’s game, on average: the 8th-most out of all QBs.
Matthew Stafford’s throwing accuracy has gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 62.4% to 67.1%.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
The projections expect the Minnesota Vikings as the 8th-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 39.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Minnesota Vikings this year (a mere 52.0 per game on average).
Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being projected in this game) typically cause better passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased pass volume, and lower run volume.
Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) generally lead to increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and reduced rush volume.
While Kyren Williams has earned 82.9% of his offense’s carries in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be much less involved in Los Angeles’s ground game in this week’s game at 59.5%.
Kyren Williams’s 80.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year represents an impressive drop-off in his running skills over last year’s 99.0 mark.
Kyren Williams’s running efficiency has diminished this year, totaling just 4.22 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 5.20 figure last year.
This year, the stout Vikings run defense has surrendered a mere 63.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing squads: the 2nd-fewest in football.
When talking about pocket protection (and the significance it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year.
The Vikings pass defense has performed very well when opposing WRs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.31 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-fewest in the league.
As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Minnesota’s group of LBs has been excellent this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in football.
Opposing offenses teams have been wary to pass too much against the Rams, averaging the fewest attempts in the league (just 25.8 per game) this year.
Sam Darnold’s 64.1% Adjusted Completion% this season shows a material drop-off in his throwing precision over last season’s 67.1% figure.
While Colby Parkinson has earned 18.3% of his team’s targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much smaller part of Los Angeles’s passing offense in this week’s contest at 12.9%.
Colby Parkinson’s receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 80.9% to 61.0%.
Colby Parkinson’s 5.3 adjusted yards per target this year reflects a meaningful regression in his receiving skills over last year’s 8.4 figure.
Justin Jefferson has put up significantly fewer air yards this season (125.0 per game) than he did last season (139.0 per game).
Justin Jefferson has notched quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (79.0) this year than he did last year (103.0).
Justin Jefferson’s 58.0% Adjusted Catch Rate this year conveys a meaningful decline in his receiving prowess over last year’s 67.7% figure.
The Minnesota Vikings defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.05 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-fewest in the league.
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