Vikings vs Chargers Match Player Stats | Week 8 Thursday 2025

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MIN @ LAC

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 8 Minnesota Vikings at Los Angeles Chargers
Todays Game is on Thursday, October 23rd
23/10/25 20:15:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Minnesota Vikings Game Today

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 61.3% of their chances: the 5th-highest frequency on the slate this week.

The Los Angeles Chargers have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 60.7 plays per game.

Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being forecasted in this game) usually lead to better passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and lower ground volume.

The Minnesota Vikings may rely on the pass game less in this week’s contest (and call more carries) since they be forced to use backup QB J.J. McCarthy.

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs this week, implying more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Vikings to pass on 60.3% of their opportunities: the 7th-highest clip on the slate this week.

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (1-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may slide.

The model projects T.J. Hockenson to accrue 5.9 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 86th percentile among tight ends.

With a top-tier 98.6% Route Participation Rate (100th percentile) this year, Justin Jefferson rates among the WRs with the biggest workloads in football.

Quentin Johnston has run fewer routes this year (89.6% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (78.4%).

In this contest, Quentin Johnston is expected by the model to slot into the 89th percentile when it comes to WRs with 8.1 targets.

In this week’s contest, Justin Herbert is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have the 7th-most pass attempts among all QBs with 36.4.,Justin Herbert has passed for significantly more adjusted yards per game (268.0) this season than he did last season (218.0).

Negatives with the Los Angeles Chargers Game Today

The Chargers are a 3-point favorite in this week’s game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 4th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 27.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the league.

The Los Angeles O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass game stats across the board.

The Minnesota Vikings defense has given up the 7th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 41.0) vs. TEs this year.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the model to call just 62.8 total plays in this contest: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.

After accruing 54.0 air yards per game last year, T.J. Hockenson has seen a big decline this year, now sitting at 24.0 per game.

T.J. Hockenson’s 32.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive usage) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 41.0.

T.J. Hockenson’s 30.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season indicates a meaningful drop-off in his pass-catching ability over last season’s 44.0 mark.

This year, the fierce Chargers defense has allowed a paltry 38.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing TEs: the 5th-fewest in the NFL.

Justin Jefferson’s 74.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season indicates a meaningful diminishment in his receiving talent over last season’s 89.0 figure.

Justin Jefferson’s receiving reliability have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 68.4% to 65.3%.

Justin Jefferson’s 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year represents a significant decline in his effectiveness in space over last year’s 4.7% mark.

This year, the imposing Chargers defense has surrendered a puny 60.3% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 6th-smallest rate in football.

Quentin Johnston’s 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year signifies a significant drop-off in his effectiveness in the open field over last year’s 5.5% rate.

This year, the fierce Vikings defense has yielded a meager 203.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing teams: the 6th-fewest in the NFL.

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