Falcons vs Vikings Match Player Stats | Week 2 Sunday 2025

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ATL @ MIN

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 2 Atlanta Falcons at Minnesota Vikings
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 14th
14/09/25 20:20:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Atlanta Falcons Game Today

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Vikings are favored in this week’s contest, suggesting more of a reliance on running than their normal approach.

With a 49.0% rate of running the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 4th-most run-heavy team in the NFL has been the Minnesota Vikings.

The predictive model expects the Minnesota Vikings to call the 5th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

With a stellar rate of 68.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (90th percentile), Aaron Jones rates among the leading pure runners in the NFL since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season, the formidable Atlanta Falcons run defense has surrendered a meager 4.75 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition’s running game: the 27th-lowest rate in the NFL.

Opposing offenses have averaged 33.9 pass attempts per game against the Falcons defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the NFL.

In this game, T.J. Hockenson is projected by the projections to find himself in the 97th percentile among tight ends with 6.7 targets.

T.J. Hockenson has accrued a massive 52.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 97th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

T.J. Hockenson rates in the 93rd percentile when it comes to TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive usage) with a whopping 41.3 figure since the start of last season.

Justin Jefferson has run a route on 99.2% of his team’s passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to WRs.

In this contest, Justin Jefferson is forecasted by the projection model to land in the 99th percentile when it comes to WRs with 10.7 targets.

Justin Jefferson has put up a monstrous 102.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 98th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

This game’s line indicates a throwing game script for the Falcons, who are -3.5-point underdogs.

The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-most plays run on the slate this week at 129.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Atlanta Falcons have run the 5th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 59.7 plays per game.

The Vikings defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (35.8 per game) since the start of last season.

The model projects Drake London to accrue 10.2 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 98th percentile among wide receivers.

Since the start of last season, the weak Minnesota Vikings defense has allowed a staggering 245.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing teams: the 3rd-most in football.

The Falcons defense has been particularly weak when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season: the most in football.

At the present time, the 6th-most run-oriented offense in the league (42.3% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Atlanta Falcons.

With an impressive total of 78.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (94th percentile), Bijan Robinson rates among the best pure runners in the league since the start of last season.

Negatives with the Minnesota Vikings Game Today

The Minnesota Vikings have run the 9th-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, averaging just 56.0 plays per game.

The leading projections forecast Aaron Jones to be a much smaller piece of his offense’s run game in this week’s contest (34.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (57.8% in games he has played).

Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings as the 11th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 57.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Minnesota’s passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially too high (and running stats reduced) on account of playing the 3rd-most “low wind” (4-mph or less) games in the NFL. We ought to be able to count on some regression with windier weather in this game.

T.J. Hockenson checks in as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the league among tight ends, completing a measly 69.0% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 16th percentile.

Justin Jefferson has been one of the worst wideouts in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 1st percentile.

At the moment, the 6th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (57.7% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Falcons.

Atlanta’s passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially inflated (and rushing stats too low) due to playing the 3rd-most “low wind” (4-mph or less) games in football. We figure to be able to count on some correction with windier conditions in this week’s contest.

Drake London’s 54.0% Adjusted Catch% this season indicates a meaningful drop-off in his receiving ability over last season’s 66.7% rate.

Drake London’s 3.9 adjusted yards per target this season reflects a substantial diminishment in his receiving skills over last season’s 9.1 rate.

With a bad 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (1st percentile) since the start of last season, Drake London rates among the leading WRs in the game in the NFL in space.

Since the start of last season, the tough Atlanta Falcons defense has given up the 6th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing teams: a feeble 7.4 yards.

The leading projections forecast Bijan Robinson to be much less involved in his offense’s rushing attack in this game (51.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (64.1% in games he has played).

Since the start of last season, the daunting Vikings run defense has conceded a puny 92.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

When it comes to the linebackers’ role in stopping the run, Minnesota’s unit has been excellent since the start of last season, profiling as the 8th-best in the league.

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