Packers vs Vikings Match Player Stats | Week 17 Sunday 2024

Packers vs Vikings Match Player Stats | Week 17 Sunday 2024

GB @ MIN

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 17 Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings
Todays Game is on Sunday, December 29th
29/12/24 16:25:00 PM EST Kickoff

Key Match Player Stats to this Game

The projections expect the Vikings as the 5th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 62.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to run 66.1 total plays in this game: the 10th-most among all teams this week.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The Packers defense has been something of pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in football (35.1 per game) this year.

Sam Darnold has passed for significantly more adjusted yards per game (252.0) this year than he did last year (33.0).

With a high 99.1% Route Participation Rate (100th percentile) this year, Justin Jefferson rates among the wide receivers with the biggest workloads in football.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Packers to pass on 59.9% of their downs: the 9th-greatest rate among all teams this week.

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may go down.

The projections expect Jordan Love to attempt 37.1 passes this week, on balance: the 8th-most among all quarterbacks.

The Minnesota Vikings defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (38.1 per game) this year.

With a fantastic rate of 253.0 adjusted passing yards per game (84th percentile), Jordan Love has been among the top passers in the league this year.

In this week’s game, Josh Jacobs is expected by the projections to land in the 97th percentile among running backs with 20.0 carries.

While Josh Jacobs has garnered 67.0% of his team’s carries in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more important option in Green Bay’s running game in this game at 77.4%.

Josh Jacobs’s 83.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year signifies a noteable improvement in his rushing prowess over last year’s 63.0 figure.

Josh Jacobs’s 4.4 adjusted yards per carry this year represents a noteworthy progression in his running ability over last year’s 3.5 mark.

Josh Jacobs has improved when it comes to generating extra rushing yardage this season, accumulating 3.41 yards-after-contact compared to a 2.35 rate last season.

In this week’s game, Aaron Jones is expected by our trusted projection set to land in the 87th percentile when it comes to running backs with 16.1 rush attempts.

Among all RBs, Aaron Jones ranks in the 87th percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 58.5% of the workload in his team’s running game.

Aaron Jones has rushed for significantly more adjusted yards per game (74.0) this year than he did last year (61.0).

With an impressive rate of 4.80 adjusted yards per carry (77th percentile), Aaron Jones stands as one of the best running backs in the league this year.

Tucker Kraft has been less involved as a potential target this season (84.7% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (44.0%).

With a fantastic 39.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (84th percentile) this year, Tucker Kraft ranks as one of the leading pass-game TEs in the league.

The leading projections forecast T.J. Hockenson to total 6.7 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 94th percentile among TEs.

Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game

The Vikings have run the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 55.9 plays per game.

The Packers pass defense has displayed strong efficiency this year, surrendering 7.55 adjusted yards-per-target: the 9th-fewest in the league.

As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Green Bay’s collection of safeties has been exceptional this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in football.

Justin Jefferson has put up significantly fewer air yards this season (107.0 per game) than he did last season (139.0 per game).

Justin Jefferson’s 87.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season reflects a substantial diminishment in his receiving prowess over last season’s 103.0 mark.

The Green Bay Packers defense has yielded the 3rd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 129.0) to wide receivers this year.

This year, the imposing Packers defense has yielded the 8th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing WRs: a feeble 7.7 yards.

At a whopping 30.07 seconds per play, the Packers offense comes in as the 3rd-slowest paced in the league (adjusted for context) this year.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Green Bay Packers to run on 40.1% of their opportunities: the 9th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Opposing offenses have rushed for the 2nd-fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 86.0 per game) vs. the Vikings defense this year.

The Minnesota Vikings safeties profile as the 6th-best unit in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

The projections expect the Minnesota Vikings as the 5th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 37.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Packers defense has produced the 8th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, surrendering just 4.29 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

The Green Bay defensive ends rank as the 8th-best DE corps in the league this year when it comes to run defense.

T.J. Hockenson has notched far fewer air yards this season (51.0 per game) than he did last season (63.0 per game).

T.J. Hockenson’s 41.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 51.5.

T.J. Hockenson has compiled many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (49.0) this year than he did last year (63.0).

T.J. Hockenson is positioned as one of the worst tight ends in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging a measly 3.56 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 16th percentile.

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