MIN @ SEA





Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, November 30th
30/11/25 16:05:00 PM EST Kickoff
Positives for the Minnesota Vikings Game Today
The projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to call the 8th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.6 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
Sam Darnold’s 70.7% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a material gain in his throwing accuracy over last year’s 66.2% figure.
With a stellar 8.90 adjusted yards-per-target (100th percentile) this year, Sam Darnold places as one of the most effective QBs in the league.
When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Minnesota’s safety corps has been awful this year, grading out as the 7th-worst in the NFL.
An extreme passing game script is implied by the Vikings being a big -10.5-point underdog in this week’s game.
Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 60.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
At the moment, the 8th-quickest paced offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Minnesota Vikings.
The Seahawks defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, leading opposing teams to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (39.5 per game) this year.
Our trusted projections expect T.J. Hockenson to accrue 4.9 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 77th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
Justin Jefferson has run a route on 97.2% of his offense’s dropbacks this year, putting him in the 99th percentile among WRs.
Negatives with the Seattle Seahawks Game Today
This week’s line suggests an extreme rushing game script for the Seahawks, who are overwhelmingly favored by 10.5 points.
Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks to be the least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 50.1% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The Seahawks have run the 5th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 48.5 plays per game.
In this week’s game, Sam Darnold is expected by the projections to wind up with the 2nd-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 30.5.,Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Vikings, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 30.0 per game) this year.
T.J. Hockenson has put up far fewer air yards this year (20.0 per game) than he did last year (54.0 per game).
T.J. Hockenson’s 27.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 41.0.
T.J. Hockenson’s 27.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year conveys a noteable decline in his pass-catching prowess over last year’s 44.0 rate.
T.J. Hockenson ranks as one of the least effective receivers in football among tight ends, averaging a lowly 6.57 adjusted yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 17th percentile.
T.J. Hockenson’s ability to pick up extra yardage has declined this year, accumulating a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 3.34 mark last year.
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to run on 39.3% of their plays: the 9th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
After accounting for 59.6% of his offense’s rushing play calls last year, Aaron Jones has been less involved in the run game this year, currently sitting at just 44.1%.
Aaron Jones’s 32.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year illustrates a significant decline in his running talent over last year’s 71.0 figure.
This year, the daunting Seattle Seahawks run defense has allowed a puny 93.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the 5th-fewest in the league.
Justin Jefferson has compiled significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (66.0) this season than he did last season (89.0).
Justin Jefferson’s ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 68.4% to 59.9%.
Justin Jefferson’s 7.9 adjusted yards per target this season represents a noteable reduction in his pass-catching ability over last season’s 10.1 figure.
Justin Jefferson’s 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year marks a noteworthy regression in his efficiency in the open field over last year’s 4.7% figure.
This year, the fierce Seattle Seahawks defense has conceded a feeble 58.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 4th-lowest rate in the NFL.
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