
CHI @ SF







Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, December 8th
08/12/24 16:25:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
This year, the porous Chicago Bears defense has conceded the 5th-most yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing squads: a colossal 5.49 YAC.
The projections expect Jauan Jennings to accrue 7.3 targets in this week’s contest, on average, ranking him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
Jauan Jennings has been much more involved in his offense’s pass game this season (25.4% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (8.8%).
After accruing 26.0 air yards per game last season, Jauan Jennings has gotten better this season, currently averaging 73.0 per game.
Jauan Jennings’s 72.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year indicates a significant gain in his receiving proficiency over last year’s 23.0 figure.
Jauan Jennings’s 74.0% Adjusted Completion% this year represents a substantial boost in his pass-catching talent over last year’s 64.5% rate.
The Bears are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, indicating a passing game script.
The model projects the Bears to be the 10th-most pass-centric team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 61.9% pass rate.
The 4th-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Chicago Bears this year (a whopping 60.8 per game on average).
This week, D.J. Moore is anticipated by our trusted projection set to finish in the 90th percentile among wideouts with 8.2 targets.
When talking about pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Chicago Bears profiles as the 3rd-best in the league this year.
In this game, George Kittle is expected by the model to secure a spot in the 94th percentile when it comes to TEs with 7.3 targets.
When it comes to air yards, George Kittle ranks in the towering 99th percentile among TEs this year, accumulating a staggering 56.0 per game.
George Kittle’s 49.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) grades out among the best in football: 96th percentile for TEs.
George Kittle’s 68.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year signifies a meaningful progression in his receiving talent over last year’s 60.0 rate.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has shown weak efficiency versus TEs this year, giving up 8.90 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-most in the league.
In this contest, Cole Kmet is expected by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 79th percentile among tight ends with 4.4 targets.
With a fantastic 42.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (87th percentile) this year, Cole Kmet has been among the best pass-game TEs in the NFL.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
This game’s spread suggests a running game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 3.5 points.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the 49ers to pass on 53.3% of their plays: the 5th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the San Francisco 49ers are projected by the predictive model to call just 62.0 plays on offense in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week.
Brock Purdy’s passing accuracy has declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 69.6% to 66.0%.
This year, the tough Bears defense has given up a measly 220.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing QBs: the 10th-fewest in the league.
The San Francisco 49ers have run the 7th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 55.7 plays per game.
This year, the tough Bears defense has surrendered a meager 130.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing WRs: the 5th-best in the league.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to have just 125.1 offensive plays run: the lowest number among all games this week.
Opposing QBs teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the 49ers, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 31.5 per game) this year.
After totaling 100.0 air yards per game last season, D.J. Moore has produced significantly fewer this season, currently boasting 70.0 per game.
D.J. Moore’s 59.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 76.9.
D.J. Moore’s 59.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season represents a meaningful reduction in his pass-catching skills over last season’s 77.0 mark.
George Kittle’s talent in grinding out extra yardage have diminished this season, totaling just 4.96 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 6.86 figure last season.
This year, the daunting 49ers defense has surrendered a meager 202.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing teams: the 4th-fewest in the NFL.
This year, the formidable San Francisco 49ers defense has conceded the 4th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing offenses: a puny 7.2 yards.
The San Francisco 49ers linebackers profile as the best LB corps in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
Cole Kmet’s 27.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 41.2.
This year, the tough 49ers defense has yielded a meager 37.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing tight ends: the 2nd-best in football.
This year, the formidable 49ers defense has allowed the 7th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing TEs: a feeble 6.8 yards.
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