Cardinals vs 49ers Match Player Stats | Week 3 Sunday 2025

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ARI @ SF

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 3 Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 21st
21/09/25 16:25:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Arizona Cardinals Game Today

Arizona’s passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially increased (and running stats deflated) on account of playing the 3rd-most “low wind” (4-mph or less) games in the NFL. We figure to be able to expect some regression with windier conditions in this game.

The predictive model expects James Conner to earn 14.3 rush attempts this week, on balance, putting him in the 77th percentile when it comes to RBs.

With a terrific tally of 64.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (88th percentile), James Conner has been as one of the leading pure rushers in the league since the start of last season.

The San Francisco 49ers defensive tackles profile as the 3rd-worst collection of DTs in the league since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.

With a top-tier 92.3% Route% (100th percentile) since the start of last season, Trey McBride places as one of the tight ends with the highest volume in football.

The model projects Trey McBride to notch 9.2 targets in this week’s game, on balance, putting him in the 100th percentile when it comes to TEs.

In regards to air yards, Trey McBride grades out in the lofty 98th percentile among TEs since the start of last season, accruing a colossal 55.0 per game.

The Arizona O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing game stats across the board.

Trey McBride rates as one of the leading tight ends in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 72.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 99th percentile.

The 49ers may take to the air less in this week’s game (and call more carries) given that they be forced to use backup QB Mac Jones.

Our trusted projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to call the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.0 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in football.

Our trusted projections expect Jauan Jennings to notch 7.8 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 87th percentile among wideouts.

With an elite 24.6% Target Rate (86th percentile) since the start of last season, Jauan Jennings has been among the WRs with the biggest workloads in the NFL.

The projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to be the 8th-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 45.0% run rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast Christian McCaffrey to accrue 16.6 rush attempts in this game, on average, putting him in the 86th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Christian McCaffrey has generated 55.0 adjusted rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the highest marks in football among RBs (82nd percentile).

Since the start of last season, the tough Cardinals run defense has surrendered a meager 4.66 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition’s run game: the 24th-smallest rate in football.

Kyler Murray comes in as one of the best precision passers in the NFL this year with a remarkable 70.4% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 79th percentile.

Negatives with the San Francisco 49ers Game Today

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Cardinals are expected by the model to run just 62.9 total plays in this contest: the 9th-fewest on the slate this week.

The 10th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Arizona Cardinals since the start of last season (a mere 56.2 per game on average).

James Conner has been much less involved in his team’s rushing attack this season (47.9% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (60.4%).

James Conner’s 2.7 adjusted yards per carry this season indicates a material diminishment in his running skills over last season’s 4.6 mark.

Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the 49ers, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 29.7 per game) since the start of last season.

Trey McBride’s 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year shows a noteworthy decline in his efficiency in the open field over last year’s 4.6% rate.

The projections expect the 49ers as the 8th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 55.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Jauan Jennings’s 54.9% Adjusted Completion Rate this year indicates a substantial diminishment in his receiving ability over last year’s 70.1% rate.

Jauan Jennings’s receiving efficiency has diminished this year, compiling just 6.59 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 9.12 rate last year.

Since the start of last season, the fierce Cardinals defense has yielded the 9th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing wideouts: a mere 7.9 yards.

When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Arizona’s collection of CBs has been tremendous since the start of last season, profiling as the 4th-best in football.

Since the start of last season, the imposing San Francisco 49ers defense has yielded a meager 121.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing wide receivers: the fewest in football.

When it comes to the defensive tackles’ role in run defense, Arizona’s collection of DTs has been great since the start of last season, grading out as the 6th-best in the NFL.

Since the start of last season, the imposing 49ers defense has yielded a meager 190.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing QBs: the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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