
SF @ MIA






Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, December 22nd
22/12/24 16:25:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
The Miami Dolphins have run the 6th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 60.0 plays per game.
After taking on 31.2% of his team’s rush attempts last season, Devon Achane has been more involved in the run game this season, now taking on 45.9%.
The 49ers safeties profile as the 24th-worst collection of safeties in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.
This year, the feeble Miami Dolphins defense has surrendered a colossal 72.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 7th-worst rate in football.
When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, Miami’s collection of LBs has been lousy this year, projecting as the 9th-worst in football.
Our trusted projections expect George Kittle to garner 6.9 targets in this week’s contest, on average, ranking him in the 94th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
When talking about air yards, George Kittle ranks in the towering 100th percentile among TEs this year, accruing a remarkable 61.0 per game.
George Kittle places in the 97th percentile when it comes to tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive volume) with a colossal 50.1 mark this year.
George Kittle’s 74.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season indicates a substantial boost in his receiving skills over last season’s 60.0 figure.
George Kittle’s sure-handedness have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 72.7% to 83.3%.
The projections expect Jauan Jennings to notch 8.3 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 86th percentile among wideouts.
Jauan Jennings has been a more important option in his offense’s air attack this year (26.1% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (8.8%).
After accruing 26.0 air yards per game last year, Jauan Jennings has produced significantly more this year, now boasting 78.0 per game.
Jauan Jennings’s 70.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year marks a meaningful gain in his pass-catching proficiency over last year’s 23.0 mark.
Jauan Jennings’s ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 64.5% to 71.4%.
The projections expect the Dolphins to be the 8th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 61.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Tua Tagovailoa has attempted 37.0 throws per game this year, checking in at the 95th percentile when it comes to QBs.
Tua Tagovailoa is positioned as one of the leading quarterbacks in the NFL this year, averaging a stellar 274.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 97th percentile.
Tua Tagovailoa’s 74.5% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a significant improvement in his passing accuracy over last year’s 69.6% mark.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins to run on 39.0% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to see just 122.9 offensive plays run: the fewest on the slate this week.
Devon Achane has run for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (42.0) this year than he did last year (69.0).
Devon Achane’s 3.6 adjusted yards per carry this year reflects a remarkable decrease in his rushing talent over last year’s 7.4 mark.
Devon Achane has been worse at generating extra running yardage this season, compiling 2.74 yards-after-contact compared to a 4.94 figure last season.
Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 56.3% of their opportunities: the 11th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
The predictive model expects the 49ers to call the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The 6th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the San Francisco 49ers this year (just 55.3 per game on average).
Brock Purdy’s passing precision has tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 69.6% to 65.5%.
Opposing teams have passed for the 6th-fewest yards in the NFL (just 218.0 adjusted yards per game) versus the Miami Dolphins defense this year.
The Miami Dolphins pass defense has surrendered the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (72.4%) versus TEs this year (72.4%).
This year, the imposing Miami Dolphins defense has surrendered the 10th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing tight ends: a feeble 6.9 yards.
Jauan Jennings’s 3.41 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year represents a material regression in his efficiency in the open field over last year’s 4.7% figure.
This year, the tough Miami Dolphins defense has yielded a paltry 132.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wide receivers: the 6th-fewest in the league.
Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the 49ers, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in football (just 30.7 per game) this year.
Tua Tagovailoa’s pass-game effectiveness has worsened this year, totaling a mere 7.52 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 8.56 mark last year.
Opposing QBs have thrown for the 2nd-fewest yards in the league (just 196.0 adjusted yards per game) against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year.
The 49ers pass defense has shown strong efficiency this year, yielding 7.09 adjusted yards-per-target: the 3rd-fewest in the NFL.
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