CHI @ SF





Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, December 28th
28/12/25 20:20:00 PM EST Kickoff
Positives for the Chicago Bears Game Today
The Bears are a 3-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
The Bears offense has played at the 6th-fastest pace in the league (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 28.00 seconds per snap.
When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Bears grades out as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year.
This year, the shaky San Francisco 49ers defense has surrendered a staggering 72.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 9th-highest rate in football.
The 49ers safeties grade out as the 6th-worst unit in the league this year in covering receivers.
The predictive model expects the Chicago Bears to be the 10th-most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 44.7% run rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
With an excellent rate of 62.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (89th percentile), D’Andre Swift stands as one of the top pure runners in the league this year.
D’Andre Swift’s 4.9 adjusted yards per carry this season marks an impressive improvement in his rushing proficiency over last season’s 3.6 rate.
As it relates to the defensive tackles’ role in defending against the run, San Francisco’s collection of DTs has been lousy this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.
The leading projections forecast the 49ers to run the 10th-most total plays among all teams this week with 65.7 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The 10th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the San Francisco 49ers this year (a massive 59.2 per game on average).
Our trusted projections expect Brock Purdy to throw 35.4 passes this week, on balance: the 10th-most out of all QBs.
Brock Purdy profiles as one of the most on-target quarterbacks in football this year with an exceptional 68.9% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 85th percentile.
Brock Purdy has been one of the most efficient passers in the league this year, averaging a terrific 7.96 adjusted yards-per-target while grading out in the 83rd percentile.
With a terrific tally of 65.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (92nd percentile), Christian McCaffrey stands among the best pure runners in football this year.
This year, the daunting Chicago Bears run defense has given up a mere 5.04 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition’s rushing attack: the 28th-smallest rate in the league.
Negatives with the San Francisco 49ers Game Today
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bears to pass on 55.3% of their plays: the 10th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency this year, allowing 7.32 adjusted yards-per-target: the 9th-fewest in football.
D’Andre Swift has been a much smaller part of his offense’s ground game this season (49.6% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (62.1%).
This year, the daunting San Francisco 49ers run defense has surrendered a paltry 103.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the 9th-best in the league.
This week’s spread implies a rushing game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 3 points.
Opposing QBs teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Chicago Bears, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.8 per game) this year.
Brock Purdy’s 168.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year illustrates a significant decline in his throwing skills over last year’s 258.0 figure.
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