SF @ SEA







Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Saturday, January 17th
17/01/26 20:00:00 PM EST Kickoff
Positives for the San Francisco 49ers Game Today
This week’s spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the 49ers, who are big -7.5-point underdogs.
The predictive model expects the 49ers to be the 10th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 61.7% pass rate.
The Seahawks defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (36.1 per game) this year.
Brock Purdy’s throwing precision has gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 66.2% to 70.2%.
With a stellar 8.07 adjusted yards-per-target (84th percentile) this year, Brock Purdy rates as one of the most efficient passers in football.
The predictive model expects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 128.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, San Francisco’s collection of safeties has been awful this year, profiling as the worst in the NFL.
Sam Darnold is positioned as one of the most on-target QBs in football this year with a stellar 68.1% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 84th percentile.
Sam Darnold checks in as one of the most efficient quarterbacks in football this year, averaging a stellar 8.24 adjusted yards-per-target while checking in at the 94th percentile.
The projections expect Jaxon Smith-Njigba to accumulate 10.9 targets in this week’s contest, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba’s 36.1% Target% this season conveys a remarkable improvement in his passing offense volume over last season’s 24.3% mark.
After totaling 73.0 air yards per game last season, Jaxon Smith-Njigba has gotten better this season, currently boasting 109.0 per game.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba’s 90.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year conveys a noteable progression in his pass-catching talent over last year’s 69.0 figure.
The predictive model expects Christian McCaffrey to accumulate 15.9 rush attempts in this week’s contest, on average, placing him in the 94th percentile when it comes to RBs.
After comprising 58.1% of his offense’s rush attempts last season, Christian McCaffrey has been more involved in the run game this season, now taking on 68.4%.
Christian McCaffrey has grinded out 68.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the largest figures in football among RBs (94th percentile).
In this week’s contest, Jake Tonges is projected by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 92nd percentile when it comes to tight ends with 4.9 targets.
The leading projections forecast Jake Tonges to be a more integral piece of his offense’s passing offense this week (14.6% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (8.7% in games he has played).
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to run on 47.3% of their chances: the highest rate among all teams this week.
In this game, Zach Charbonnet is anticipated by our trusted projection set to finish in the 78th percentile among RBs with 12.7 carries.
Zach Charbonnet’s 44.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season shows a remarkable gain in his rushing prowess over last season’s 34.0 figure.
Negatives with the Seattle Seahawks Game Today
Our trusted projections expect the 49ers to run the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.7 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
Brock Purdy’s 208.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season represents an impressive decrease in his throwing skills over last season’s 258.0 figure.
This year, the stout Seattle Seahawks defense has conceded a mere 66.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 5th-lowest rate in football.
The Seahawks pass defense has displayed strong efficiency this year, surrendering 6.59 adjusted yards-per-target: the fewest in the NFL.
When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Seattle’s unit has been exceptional this year, grading out as the 5th-best in football.
With a 7.5-point advantage, the Seahawks are a heavy favorite in this week’s contest, suggesting much more of a reliance on rushing than their typical game plan.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 52.7% of their opportunities: the lowest clip on the slate this week.
This year, the tough San Francisco 49ers defense has conceded a feeble 70.4% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 6th-lowest rate in football.
This year, the strong San Francisco 49ers defense has yielded the 6th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing tight ends: a paltry 7.0 yards.
In this week’s game, Sam Darnold is forecasted by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 2nd-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 32.0.,Sam Darnold’s 207.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season illustrates a remarkable drop-off in his passing ability over last season’s 256.0 mark.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba’s 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season illustrates a noteworthy regression in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last season’s 4.6% mark.
The model projects the 49ers to be the 3rd-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 40.9% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The Seattle Seahawks defense owns the best efficiency against opposing ground games this year, allowing just 3.76 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
The Seahawks linebackers rank as the 7th-best group of LBs in football this year when it comes to defending the run.
With a lackluster 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (2nd percentile) this year, Jake Tonges has been among the best pass-catching tight ends in the league in the open field.
The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has surrendered the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (71.9%) to tight ends this year (71.9%).
This year, the formidable 49ers run defense has surrendered a mere 102.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 9th-best in the league.
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