MNF: Panthers vs 49ers Match Player Stats | Week 12 Monday 2025

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CAR @ SF

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 12 Carolina Panthers at San Francisco 49ers
Todays Game is on Monday, November 24th
24/11/25 20:15:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Carolina Panthers Game Today

Brock Purdy’s 69.4% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates an impressive improvement in his throwing precision over last year’s 66.2% mark.

With a remarkable 8.57 adjusted yards-per-target (94th percentile) this year, Brock Purdy places among the best per-play passers in the NFL.

This year, the weak Carolina Panthers defense has been gouged for the 6th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing teams: a whopping 7.90 yards.

The leading projections forecast the Carolina Panthers to be the 7th-most run-heavy offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 42.4% run rate.

The 8th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Panthers this year (a colossal 58.9 per game on average).

The predictive model expects Rico Dowdle to earn 19.4 carries in this week’s contest, on average, putting him in the 96th percentile among running backs.

The predictive model expects Rico Dowdle to be much more involved in his offense’s ground game this week (71.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (57.3% in games he has played).

Rico Dowdle has averaged 67.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the largest figures in the NFL when it comes to RBs (91st percentile).

The predictive model expects the 49ers to be the 7th-most run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 45.5% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

In this game, Christian McCaffrey is predicted by the model to land in the 90th percentile among running backs with 18.0 carries.

After taking on 58.1% of his offense’s run game usage last year, Christian McCaffrey has played a bigger part in the run game this year, now accounting for 69.4%.

Christian McCaffrey has averaged 62.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the largest figures in the league among running backs (88th percentile).

Opposing QBs have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game vs. the 49ers defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.

As it relates to pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Carolina Panthers grades out as the 7th-best in the NFL this year.

Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the 6th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (255.0 per game) against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year.

Negatives with the San Francisco 49ers Game Today

A running game script is indicated by the 49ers being a 6.5-point favorite in this week’s contest.

The leading projections forecast the 49ers as the 7th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The model projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 127.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The projections expect Brock Purdy to throw 32.7 passes in this game, on balance: the 7th-fewest among all QBs.

Brock Purdy’s 212.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year represents a substantial drop-off in his passing talent over last year’s 258.0 mark.

The Panthers are a 6.5-point underdog in this week’s game, likely creating a passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Panthers are expected by the projection model to call just 63.3 total plays in this game: the 5th-lowest number among all teams this week.

Christian McCaffrey is positioned as one of the worst running backs in the league at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging a lowly 2.50 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 12th percentile.

At the moment, the 7th-least pass-focused team in the league (57.6% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Panthers.

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