
ARI @ SF






Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, October 6th
06/10/24 16:05:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Cardinals being a heavy -9.5-point underdog in this week’s game.
Kyler Murray’s 69.7% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a meaningful growth in his throwing precision over last year’s 65.3% mark.
Our trusted projections expect the Cardinals to be the 7th-most run-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 42.8% run rate.
In this game, James Conner is forecasted by the model to find himself in the 91st percentile among running backs with 16.6 rush attempts.
James Conner has earned 64.8% of his offense’s rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile among running backs.
James Conner has averaged 71.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the highest marks in the league when it comes to running backs (84th percentile).
An extreme rushing game script is implied by the 49ers being a big 9.5-point favorite in this week’s contest.
The projections expect the San Francisco 49ers as the 3rd-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 49.1% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 61.8 plays per game.
Jordan Mason’s 121.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year signifies a meaningful improvement in his running prowess over last year’s 23.0 rate.
Opposing offenses have run for the 5th-most adjusted yards in football (151 per game) vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year.
With a top-tier 88.8% Route Participation% (84th percentile) since the start of last season, Deebo Samuel has been as one of the wideouts with the biggest workloads in the league.
Deebo Samuel ranks in the 77th percentile when it comes to WRs this year with a massive 25.9% of his team’s air yards accumulated.
With a terrific 62.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (87th percentile) since the start of last season, Deebo Samuel has been as one of the best WRs in the game in the NFL.
Since the start of last season, the shaky Cardinals pass defense has yielded a whopping 70.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the worst rate in football.
This year, the shaky San Francisco 49ers defense has yielded the 5th-most yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing wideouts: a colossal 4.78 YAC.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
Right now, the 7th-least pass-focused offense in football (57.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Cardinals.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to see only 125.1 total plays run: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.
The 9th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Arizona Cardinals this year (a mere 54.5 per game on average).
Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to pass too much against the 49ers, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in football (just 30.0 per game) this year.
Kyler Murray has passed for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (189.0) this year than he did last year (224.0).
This year, the daunting 49ers run defense has allowed a paltry 97.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 8th-best in football.
The 49ers defensive ends project as the 8th-best DE corps in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the 49ers are projected by the model to call only 62.4 total plays in this contest: the 5th-fewest on the slate this week.
The Arizona Cardinals safeties rank as the 4th-best safety corps in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.
The projections expect the San Francisco 49ers as the 3rd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 50.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Cardinals, averaging the fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 25.8 per game) this year.
The 49ers O-line ranks as the 10th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
The 49ers pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency vs. wide receivers since the start of last season, surrendering 7.71 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-fewest in the NFL.
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