SF @ PHI







Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, January 11th
11/01/26 16:30:00 PM EST Kickoff
Positives for the San Francisco 49ers Game Today
At a -4.5-point disadvantage, the 49ers are underdogs in this game, implying more of a focus on passing than their usual game plan.
The leading projections forecast the 49ers to be the 9th-most pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 61.9% pass rate.
The leading projections forecast George Kittle to garner 6.2 targets in this week’s contest, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to TEs.
With an impressive 22.7% Target% (98th percentile) this year, George Kittle has been as one of the TEs with the most usage in the NFL.
With an exceptional 87.0% Adjusted Completion% (94th percentile) this year, George Kittle places as one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL when it comes to tight ends.
The Philadelphia Eagles may throw the ball less in this game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling with backup QB Tanner McKee.
The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 127.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.
The projections expect A.J. Brown to earn 7.9 targets in this week’s game, on average, putting him in the 98th percentile among WRs.
A.J. Brown has put up a monstrous 95.0 air yards per game this year: 92nd percentile among wide receivers.
The leading projections forecast Dallas Goedert to garner 4.8 targets in this week’s game, on average, putting him in the 85th percentile when it comes to TEs.
Dallas Goedert has totaled a monstrous 37.0 air yards per game this year: 86th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
This week, Christian McCaffrey is anticipated by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 97th percentile when it comes to RBs with 16.4 carries.
Christian McCaffrey has been a more important option in his offense’s rushing attack this year (68.4% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (58.1%).
With an outstanding record of 68.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (94th percentile), Christian McCaffrey ranks as one of the top RBs in the NFL this year.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to run on 48.2% of their chances: the greatest rate on the slate this week.
The model projects Saquon Barkley to notch 17.3 rush attempts in this week’s game, on balance, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to RBs.
As it relates to the defensive tackles’ role in defending against the run, San Francisco’s collection of DTs has been atrocious this year, profiling as the worst in the NFL. in the NFL.
This week, Jauan Jennings is projected by the projections to secure a spot in the 82nd percentile when it comes to wideouts with 5.7 targets.
Brock Purdy’s throwing precision has been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 66.2% to 70.2%.
Brock Purdy checks in as one of the most efficient QBs in football this year, averaging a terrific 8.06 adjusted yards-per-target while grading out in the 84th percentile.
Negatives with the Philadelphia Eagles Game Today
The projections expect the 49ers to call the 2nd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
George Kittle has notched far fewer air yards this season (45.0 per game) than he did last season (56.0 per game).
George Kittle’s 51.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year shows a remarkable drop-off in his pass-catching skills over last year’s 76.0 rate.
George Kittle’s 10.0 adjusted yards per target this year indicates a noteworthy reduction in his receiving ability over last year’s 12.5 rate.
This year, the tough Philadelphia Eagles defense has given up a measly 34.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing TEs: the 2nd-fewest in the league.
With a 4.5-point advantage, the Eagles are favored this week, suggesting more of an emphasis on running than their usual approach.
The predictive model expects the Eagles to be the least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 51.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The Eagles have called the 5th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 55.0 plays per game.
A.J. Brown’s 30.1% Target Rate this season marks a significant reduction in his passing game volume over last season’s 37.0% rate.
A.J. Brown’s 64.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season represents a material decline in his pass-catching ability over last season’s 80.0 rate.
Dallas Goedert’s 40.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 47.0.
Dallas Goedert’s receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 83.2% to 78.1%.
The leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers to be the 7th-least run-focused offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 38.1% run rate.
As it relates to the defensive tackles’ role in run defense, Philadelphia’s collection of DTs has been outstanding this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the NFL.
Our trusted projections expect Saquon Barkley to be a much smaller part of his offense’s ground game in this week’s contest (55.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (66.2% in games he has played).
Saquon Barkley has run for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (63.0) this year than he did last year (118.0).
Saquon Barkley’s 3.8 adjusted yards per carry this year marks a material drop-off in his running skills over last year’s 5.5 mark.
Jauan Jennings has been a much smaller piece of his offense’s passing game this year (19.5% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (25.3%).
Jauan Jennings has accrued significantly fewer air yards this season (61.0 per game) than he did last season (80.0 per game).
Jauan Jennings’s 42.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season shows a substantial regression in his pass-catching ability over last season’s 67.0 rate.
This year, the stout Philadelphia Eagles defense has yielded a mere 59.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 2nd-smallest rate in football.
Brock Purdy’s 208.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year reflects a significant diminishment in his throwing skills over last year’s 258.0 rate.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the lowest rate in football versus the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year (64.3% Adjusted Completion%).
This year, the formidable Philadelphia Eagles defense has yielded the 4th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing squads: a measly 7.0 yards.
The Eagles linebackers grade out as the best unit in the league this year in pass coverage.
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