
DAL @ SF



Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, October 27th
27/10/24 20:20:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
At a -4.5-point disadvantage, the Cowboys are underdogs in this game, indicating more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 63.4% of their chances: the 2nd-highest frequency on the slate this week.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cowboys are predicted by the projection model to call 66.0 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.
The 5th-most plays in football have been run by the Cowboys this year (a monstrous 60.3 per game on average).
The projections expect Dak Prescott to throw 38.8 passes in this game, on average: the 2nd-most out of all quarterbacks.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the projection model to see 130.5 total plays run: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.
Brock Purdy is positioned as one of the top QBs in the NFL this year, averaging an excellent 262.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 94th percentile.
This year, the poor Cowboys defense has yielded the most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing teams: a whopping 9.01 yards.
The Cowboys defense has been vulnerable when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 6.06 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 3rd-most in the league.
As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Dallas’s safety corps has been dreadful this year, projecting as the 7th-worst in the league.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
The Cowboys O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
Dak Prescott’s throwing precision has worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 69.1% to 64.2%.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 3rd-lowest level in the NFL versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year (66.1% Adjusted Completion%).
The 49ers linebackers rank as the 3rd-best LB corps in football this year in covering receivers.
This game’s line suggests a rushing game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 4.5 points.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the 49ers to pass on 54.7% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
In this week’s game, Brock Purdy is expected by the projection model to average the 10th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 32.9. , Opposing teams have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game versus the Cowboys defense this year: 7th-fewest in the NFL.
Brock Purdy’s 64.1% Adjusted Completion% this season conveys a material decrease in his throwing accuracy over last season’s 69.6% mark.
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