49ers vs Patriots Match Player Stats | Week 4 Sunday New England Patriots at San Francisco 49ers

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49ers vs Patriots Match Player Stats | Week 4 Sunday New England Patriots at San Francisco 49ers

NE @ SF

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 4 New England Patriots at San Francisco 49ers
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 29th
29/09/24 16:05:00 PM EST Kickoff

Key Match Player Stats to this Game

At a -11.5-point disadvantage, the Patriots are huge underdogs in this game, implying much more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.

The San Francisco 49ers defense has been something of pass funnel since the start of last season, compelling opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (35.2 per game) since the start of last season.

Demario Douglas has been one of the top wide receivers in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging an impressive 6.65 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 93rd percentile.

The predictive model expects Hunter Henry to earn 5.7 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 94th percentile when it comes to TEs.

Hunter Henry has accumulated a staggering 43.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 94th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Opposing QBs have averaged 35.1 pass attempts per game against the Patriots defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in the league.

With a remarkable total of 236.0 adjusted passing yards per game (88th percentile), Brock Purdy ranks as one of the leading passers in the league since the start of last season.

Brock Purdy comes in as one of the most on-target QBs in the NFL since the start of last season with an exceptional 69.3% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 100th percentile.

With a remarkable 9.48 adjusted yards-per-target (100th percentile) since the start of last season, Brock Purdy rates among the most efficient QBs in football.

Since the start of last season, the feeble Patriots defense has been gouged for a massive 72.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 8th-largest rate in the league.

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the San Francisco 49ers to run on 46.8% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest clip on the slate this week.

In this game, Jordan Mason is anticipated by the projection model to land in the 97th percentile when it comes to RBs with 20.4 carries.

Jordan Mason has been a more important option in his team’s run game this year (68.8% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (7.2%).

With an excellent tally of 47.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (75th percentile), Jordan Mason places as one of the leading pure runners in football since the start of last season.

Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game

Right now, the 5th-least pass-heavy offense in football (55.6% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Patriots.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have just 122.8 total plays called: the fewest among all games this week.

The 7th-fewest plays in the league have been run by the New England Patriots since the start of last season (only 56.3 per game on average).

The New England Patriots O-line grades out as the 6th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

The 49ers linebackers grade out as the 5th-best group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

While Hunter Henry has accounted for 25.4% of his team’s targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much smaller part of New England’s passing attack in this contest at 19.0%.

Hunter Henry ranks as one of the least sure-handed receivers in football among tight ends, catching just 68.2% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, checking in at the 15th percentile.

This game’s line suggests an extreme running game script for the 49ers, who are overwhelmingly favored by 11.5 points.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the 49ers to pass on 53.2% of their plays: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The predictive model expects the 49ers to run the 2nd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The 4th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the San Francisco 49ers since the start of last season (a lowly 55.0 per game on average).

In this week’s game, Brock Purdy is anticipated by the projections to average the 10th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 30.1. , The New England Patriots defense boasts the best efficiency against opposing ground games since the start of last season, yielding just 3.63 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

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