
DET @ SF







Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Monday, December 30th
30/12/24 20:15:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
The 8th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Lions this year (a staggering 59.5 per game on average).
The predictive model expects Sam LaPorta to earn 5.7 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 89th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
Sam LaPorta’s sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 71.7% to 75.2%.
Sam LaPorta’s pass-game effectiveness has improved this year, totaling 9.39 adjusted yards-per-target vs just 7.13 mark last year.
Sam LaPorta’s 5.87 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season indicates a noteable gain in his effectiveness in space over last season’s 4.0% rate.
The projections expect Jahmyr Gibbs to garner 20.1 carries in this game, on average, putting him in the 97th percentile among running backs.
The projections expect Jahmyr Gibbs to be a more important option in his offense’s running game in this week’s contest (71.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (48.7% in games he has played).
Jahmyr Gibbs has run for a lot more adjusted yards per game (81.0) this year than he did last year (65.0).
In this week’s game, Amon-Ra St. Brown is forecasted by the model to finish in the 93rd percentile when it comes to WRs with 9.0 targets.
Amon-Ra St. Brown has been a big part of his team’s offense, posting a Target Share of 27.4% this year, which puts him in the 94th percentile among wideouts.
Amon-Ra St. Brown’s ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 75.1% to 82.7%.
With a terrific 9.8 adjusted yards per target (86th percentile) this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown ranks among the best WRs in the game in the NFL.
This game’s line suggests a passing game script for the 49ers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
Opposing QBs have averaged 37.6 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense this year: 5th-most in the league.
In this week’s contest, George Kittle is predicted by the predictive model to place in the 97th percentile among tight ends with 7.3 targets.
George Kittle has accrued a monstrous 59.0 air yards per game this year: 100th percentile among tight ends.
George Kittle has accumulated significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (77.0) this year than he did last year (60.0).
The projections expect Jauan Jennings to notch 8.6 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile among WRs.
Jauan Jennings has been a more integral piece of his team’s passing offense this year (25.1% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (8.8%).
Jauan Jennings has accumulated many more air yards this year (78.0 per game) than he did last year (26.0 per game).
With an outstanding rate of 249.0 adjusted passing yards per game (78th percentile), Brock Purdy has been among the leading quarterbacks in the NFL this year.
With a stellar total of 266.0 adjusted passing yards per game (92nd percentile), Jared Goff ranks as one of the top quarterbacks in football this year.
Jared Goff’s throwing accuracy has improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 66.3% to 71.0%.
With an impressive 8.46 adjusted yards-per-target (97th percentile) this year, Jared Goff stands among the most effective QBs in the NFL.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
The Lions are a 3.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to have only 127.2 offensive plays run: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.
Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the San Francisco 49ers, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.5 per game) this year.
Sam LaPorta has put up quite a few less air yards this year (36.0 per game) than he did last year (53.0 per game).
Sam LaPorta’s 34.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 45.9.
After accruing 76.0 air yards per game last season, Amon-Ra St. Brown has posted significant losses this season, currently boasting 68.0 per game.
Amon-Ra St. Brown’s 80.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season marks a significant decline in his receiving talent over last season’s 98.0 rate.
Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the San Francisco 49ers are anticipated by our trusted projection set to call only 62.5 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number on the slate this week.
The San Francisco 49ers have run the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 55.3 plays per game.
The 49ers offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
The Detroit Lions defense has surrendered the 3rd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 39.0) vs. tight ends this year.
This year, the strong Detroit Lions defense has given up a mere 65.6% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the best rate in football.
Jauan Jennings’s 3.22 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season conveys a noteable decrease in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last season’s 4.7% figure.
This year, the tough Lions defense has yielded a puny 62.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 6th-best rate in the NFL.
Brock Purdy’s throwing precision has diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 69.6% to 65.1%.
Brock Purdy’s 8.29 adjusted yards-per-target this season shows a meaningful drop-off in his passing efficiency over last season’s 9.5% mark.
Opposing QBs have thrown for the fewest yards in the league (just 196.0 adjusted yards per game) vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year.
The 49ers pass defense has displayed strong efficiency this year, surrendering 7.07 adjusted yards-per-target: the 3rd-fewest in the NFL.
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