
NE @ CHI







Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, November 10th
10/11/24 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
Our trusted projections expect the Bears offense to be the 6th-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 27.15 seconds per snap.
In this week’s game, Cole Kmet is anticipated by the projections to position himself in the 81st percentile when it comes to tight ends with 4.4 targets.
When talking about air yards, Cole Kmet ranks in the towering 87th percentile among tight ends this year, averaging a colossal 33.0 per game.
With a terrific 45.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (90th percentile) this year, Cole Kmet rates among the best pass-catching TEs in the league.
The New England Patriots defense has been torched for the 10th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (55.0) versus tight ends this year.
The Bears O-line profiles as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all air attack metrics across the board.
This year, the poor New England Patriots defense has been torched for the 8th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing offenses: a whopping 8.12 yards.
The Patriots linebackers rank as the 3rd-worst LB corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.
In this week’s contest, D.J. Moore is projected by our trusted projection set to place in the 87th percentile among WRs with 7.8 targets.
This year, the porous New England Patriots defense has surrendered a whopping 154.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing WRs: the 8th-worst in the NFL.
The Patriots pass defense has allowed the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (69.3%) vs. wide receivers this year (69.3%).
The Patriots are a 6-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
The predictive model expects the New England Patriots offense to be the 9th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.36 seconds per snap.
In this week’s contest, Demario Douglas is predicted by the projection model to place in the 77th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 6.2 targets.
Demario Douglas’s 76.8% Adjusted Catch% this year conveys a remarkable gain in his receiving ability over last year’s 64.1% mark.
This week, Rhamondre Stevenson is anticipated by the model to find himself in the 90th percentile among running backs with 16.7 carries.
Out of all RBs, Rhamondre Stevenson grades out in the 90th percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 60.6% of the workload in his offense’s running game.
Rhamondre Stevenson has grinded out 55.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the highest figures in football when it comes to running backs (78th percentile).
The Chicago Bears defense has produced the 6th-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, giving up 5.04 adjusted yards-per-carry.
Our trusted projections expect the Chicago Bears as the 8th-most run-focused team among all teams this week with a 45.5% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect D’Andre Swift to accumulate 18.3 rush attempts in this contest, on average, putting him in the 96th percentile among RBs.
After accounting for 49.3% of his offense’s rushing play calls last season, D’Andre Swift has been more involved in the rushing attack this season, currently comprising 59.7%.
In this contest, Hunter Henry is predicted by the projection model to secure a spot in the 89th percentile among TEs with 5.9 targets.
Hunter Henry has totaled quite a few more adjusted receiving yards per game (56.0) this year than he did last year (33.0).
This year, the porous Bears defense has allowed a whopping 58.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing tight ends: the 7th-worst in the NFL.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
With a 6-point advantage, the Bears are favored in this week’s game, implying more of a focus on running than their usual approach.
The projections expect the Bears to be the 8th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 54.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Cole Kmet’s 13.9% Target Rate this season indicates an impressive diminishment in his passing offense usage over last season’s 20.4% mark.
The New England Patriots defense has performed very well when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.09 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-fewest in the league.
D.J. Moore’s 25.0% Target Rate this season reflects a remarkable decline in his passing game volume over last season’s 30.0% figure.
After accruing 100.0 air yards per game last year, D.J. Moore has regressed heavily this year, currently sitting at 71.0 per game.
D.J. Moore’s 49.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year marks an impressive decline in his receiving prowess over last year’s 77.0 mark.
After accumulating 44.0 air yards per game last year, Demario Douglas has seen a big decrease this year, currently pacing 34.0 per game.
The Patriots offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all pass game metrics across the board.
Demario Douglas checks in as one of the least effective receivers in football, averaging a measly 6.91 adjusted yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 22nd percentile among WRs, Demario Douglas’s 4.29 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year shows a substantial drop-off in his effectiveness in the open field over last year’s 6.4% rate.
This year, the fierce Bears defense has yielded a meager 117.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing WRs: the 2nd-fewest in football.
This year, the strong Chicago Bears defense has surrendered a meager 204.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing teams: the 6th-best in the NFL.
This year, the imposing Bears defense has conceded a mere 68.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 8th-smallest rate in the league.
As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Chicago’s unit has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 4th-best in football.
With a lousy rate of 3.91 adjusted yards per carry (19th percentile) this year, D’Andre Swift stands as one of the bottom pure rushers in football at the position.
With an awful tally of 2.68 yards after contact (19th percentile) this year, D’Andre Swift rates as one of the easiest-to-tackle running backs in the NFL.
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