CHI @ LV



Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 28th
28/09/25 16:25:00 PM EST Kickoff
Positives for the Chicago Bears Game Today
Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Chicago Bears are projected by the projection model to call 67.7 total plays in this contest: the 2nd-most among all teams this week.
The 9th-most plays in football have been called by the Chicago Bears since the start of last season (a monstrous 58.6 per game on average).
The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.
The Chicago O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
The Las Vegas Raiders defense has struggled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.60 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season: the 10th-most in the league.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 60.2% of their chances: the 10th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
The model projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.4 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.
The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
The projections expect Geno Smith to attempt 37.0 passes in this game, on average: the 7th-most out of all quarterbacks.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has displayed bad efficiency since the start of last season, allowing 8.47 adjusted yards-per-target: the 2nd-most in the NFL.
Negatives with the Las Vegas Raiders Game Today
The Bears have been the 8th-least pass-heavy team in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 59.6% pass rate.
Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Bears, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (just 30.6 per game) since the start of last season.
Geno Smith’s 203.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year conveys an impressive diminishment in his throwing talent over last year’s 256.0 rate.
Geno Smith’s 64.0% Adjusted Completion% this season represents a noteable drop-off in his throwing accuracy over last season’s 70.1% mark.
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