Patriots vs Saints Match Player Stats | Week 6 Sunday 2025

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 6 New England Patriots at New Orleans Saints
Todays Game is on Sunday, October 12th
12/10/25 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the New England Patriots Game Today

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Saints are underdogs in this game, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.

The projections expect this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 136.5 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The Saints have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 63.6 plays per game.

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.

This year, the deficient New England Patriots defense has been torched for a whopping 253.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing quarterbacks: the 7th-most in the NFL.

The New England Patriots defense has given up the 3rd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (69.0) vs. tight ends this year.

This year, the feeble Patriots pass defense has surrendered a massive 69.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 8th-worst rate in football.

The Patriots are a 3.5-point favorite this week, indicating a running game script.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Patriots to run on 43.7% of their chances: the 9th-greatest clip among all teams this week.

The model projects this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 136.5 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

When it comes to the defensive tackles’ role in run defense, New Orleans’s group of DTs has been awful this year, projecting as the worst in the league. in the league.

When talking about pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the New England Patriots ranks as the best in the NFL this year.

The model projects Stefon Diggs to total 8.5 targets in this week’s contest, on average, ranking him in the 94th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

Stefon Diggs has been responsible for a whopping 28.1% of his offense’s air yards this year: 77th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

When it comes to the defensive ends’ role in stopping the run, New England’s DE corps has been awful this year, ranking as the worst in the league. in the league.

In this week’s game, Hunter Henry is expected by the model to finish in the 93rd percentile when it comes to tight ends with 6.1 targets.

Hunter Henry has notched significantly more air yards this season (56.0 per game) than he did last season (44.0 per game).

Hunter Henry rates in the 97th percentile for tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive usage) with a colossal 45.5 mark this year.

Negatives with the New Orleans Saints Game Today

The predictive model expects the Saints to be the 7th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 58.5% pass rate.

Juwan Johnson’s sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 76.7% to 68.0%.

Juwan Johnson’s 6.1 adjusted yards per target this season illustrates a remarkable drop-off in his pass-catching skills over last season’s 8.3 rate.

Juwan Johnson’s ability to grind out extra yardage has tailed off this season, notching just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 3.88 mark last season.

The Patriots defensive tackles rank as the 2nd-best group of DTs in football this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

Chris Olave has accrued many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (42.0) this year than he did last year (54.0).

Chris Olave’s possession skills have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 73.7% to 62.9%.

Chris Olave’s 5.0 adjusted yards per target this season conveys a material reduction in his receiving prowess over last season’s 10.0 figure.

Chris Olave’s talent in grinding out extra yardage have worsened this year, accumulating a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 3.50 rate last year.

The Patriots have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 54.4 plays per game.

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may go down.

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Patriots to pass on 56.3% of their plays: the 9th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Saints, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 30.0 per game) this year.

The New Orleans Saints safeties profile as the 7th-best group of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

Stefon Diggs’s talent in generating extra yardage have tailed off this season, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 3.89 mark last season.

The projections expect the New Orleans Saints as the 10th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 41.8% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Alvin Kamara has run for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (42.0) this season than he did last season (65.0).

Opposing teams have rushed for the 3rd-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 83.0 per game) vs. the New England Patriots defense this year.

Hunter Henry’s possession skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 75.1% to 68.1%.

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