LAC @ NE







Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, January 11th
11/01/26 20:00:00 PM EST Kickoff
Positives for the Los Angeles Chargers Game Today
This week’s spread indicates a passing game script for the Chargers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 59.6% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest rate on the slate this week.
The 4th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a staggering 60.2 per game on average).
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Patriots are favored in this week’s contest, indicating more of a reliance on running than their standard approach.
The New England Patriots O-line ranks as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all air attack stats across the board.
Our trusted projections expect Hunter Henry to accrue 5.4 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 84th percentile when it comes to TEs.
This week, Stefon Diggs is predicted by our trusted projection set to finish in the 83rd percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.0 targets.
Negatives with the New England Patriots Game Today
The model projects this game to see the fewest plays run on the slate this week at 125.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
As it relates to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Chargers ranks as the worst in football this year.
The projections expect the Patriots to be the 3rd-least run-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 35.9% run rate.
The model projects this game to see the smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Patriots to pass on 55.9% of their downs: the 4th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
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