Dolphins vs Patriots Match Player Stats | Week 18 Sunday 2026

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MIA @ NE

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 18 Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots
Todays Game is on Sunday, January 4th
04/01/26 16:25:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Miami Dolphins Game Today

The New England Patriots boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to lean 4.4% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

The New England O-line profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 3rd-highest clip in football versus the Dolphins defense this year (74.9% Adjusted Completion%).

The Dolphins pass defense has shown poor efficiency this year, allowing 7.92 adjusted yards-per-target: the 8th-most in the NFL.

The Dolphins defensive ends profile as the 2nd-worst DE corps in the NFL this year in regard to pass rush.

The Dolphins are a huge 10.5-point underdog in this week’s game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.

This year, the anemic New England Patriots defense has yielded a whopping 73.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 6th-highest rate in the NFL.

Negatives with the New England Patriots Game Today

The Patriots are an enormous 8.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

The leading projections forecast the New England Patriots as the 9th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 54.3% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to have only 124.4 total plays called: the 3rd-fewest among all games this week.

The model projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 3rd-least pass-focused offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 55.4% pass rate.

The model projects the Dolphins to run the 4th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.6 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The Miami Dolphins have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 51.8 plays per game.

The Miami O-line profiles as the worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

The New England Patriots linebackers profile as the 3rd-best LB corps in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

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