Packers vs Bears Match Player Stats | 2025 NFL Playoffs 19 Saturday

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GB @ CHI

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 19 Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears
Todays Game is on Saturday, January 10th
10/01/26 20:00:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Green Bay Packers Game Today

The Green Bay Packers may take to the air less in this game (and call more rushes) because they be starting backup quarterback Clayton Tune.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 127.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Luke Musgrave’s 15.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 9.6.

Luke Musgrave’s 17.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year marks a significant gain in his receiving proficiency over last year’s 6.0 rate.

This year, the weak Chicago Bears defense has conceded a monstrous 56.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing tight ends: the 7th-most in the NFL.

The predictive model expects Christian Watson to garner 5.2 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 79th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

After accruing 63.0 air yards per game last season, Christian Watson has gotten better this season, currently pacing 99.0 per game.

Christian Watson’s 55.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 38.5.

The Bears rank as the 9th-most run-focused offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 41.8% run rate.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 127.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Chicago Bears have run the most plays in football this year, averaging a massive 60.7 plays per game.

In this week’s game, D’Andre Swift is projected by the projection model to secure a spot in the 76th percentile among RBs with 12.3 carries.

D’Andre Swift has grinded out 60.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest figures in football among RBs (90th percentile).

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Packers defense this year: 10th-most in football.

The Bears O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all air attack metrics across the board.

The Packers pass defense has conceded the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (67.2%) vs. wideouts this year (67.2%).

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Packers to run on 47.6% of their plays: the 2nd-greatest frequency among all teams this week.

In this game, Josh Jacobs is anticipated by our trusted projection set to rank in the 81st percentile when it comes to RBs with 13.3 rush attempts.

This year, the tough Bears run defense has allowed a mere 5.06 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition’s rushing attack: the 27th-best rate in the league.

The Bears defensive tackles project as the 4th-worst unit in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

Negatives with the Chicago Bears Game Today

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Packers to pass on 52.4% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The Green Bay Packers have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 54.9 plays per game.

Opposing offenses have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense this year: 6th-fewest in the league.

When talking about pocket protection (and the impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Packers profiles as the worst in football this year.

With a lackluster 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (2nd percentile) this year, Luke Musgrave places as one of the leading pass-catching tight ends in the NFL in picking up extra yardage.

Christian Watson’s 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season signifies a substantial decrease in his efficiency in the open field over last season’s 5.1% rate.

D’Andre Swift has been a much smaller piece of his offense’s ground game this season (49.4% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (62.1%).

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Chicago Bears to pass on 55.3% of their opportunities: the 4th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

The Packers safeties rank as the 6th-best unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

Opposing QBs have passed for the 7th-fewest yards in the league (just 196.0 adjusted yards per game) vs. the Packers defense this year.

This year, the imposing Packers defense has given up the 5th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to the opposing side: a paltry 7.1 yards.

While Josh Jacobs has garnered 59.4% of his offense’s run game usage in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a much smaller piece of Green Bay’s rushing attack this week at 43.7%.

Josh Jacobs has run for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (59.0) this year than he did last year (80.0).

This year, the tough Packers defense has given up a feeble 41.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing TEs: the 9th-fewest in the NFL.

The Packers pass defense has exhibited good efficiency vs. TEs this year, conceding 6.04 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-fewest in football.

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