
CHI @ ARI







Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, November 3rd
03/11/24 16:05:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
This game will be played in a dome, —which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Cardinals O-line profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board.
The Chicago Bears have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 58.7 plays per game.
The projections expect D’Andre Swift to accrue 11.7 carries in this week’s contest, on average, ranking him in the 77th percentile when it comes to RBs.
With a fantastic record of 54.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (76th percentile), D’Andre Swift ranks as one of the best pure runners in the NFL this year.
Opposing squads have rushed for the 8th-most adjusted yards in football (142 per game) vs. the Cardinals defense this year.
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bears to pass on 59.5% of their plays: the 8th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects D.J. Moore to notch 8.5 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among wideouts.
When talking about pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Bears grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL this year.
The predictive model expects the Cardinals to be the 9th-most run-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 41.3% run rate.
In this week’s game, James Conner is projected by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 89th percentile when it comes to running backs with 14.7 carries.
With an excellent tally of 3.61 yards after contact (86th percentile), James Conner rates among the most effective RBs in the NFL this year.
In this week’s game, Cole Kmet is expected by the projection model to secure a spot in the 85th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 4.7 targets.
Cole Kmet rates as one of the leading pass-catching tight ends this year, averaging an excellent 50.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 96th percentile.
This week, Trey McBride is anticipated by the predictive model to position himself in the 100th percentile among TEs with 9.0 targets.
Trey McBride’s 25.7% Target% this year reflects a substantial growth in his air attack usage over last year’s 20.0% mark.
Trey McBride has posted quite a few more air yards this year (54.0 per game) than he did last year (37.0 per game).
The Chicago Bears pass defense has surrendered the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (81.5%) versus TEs this year (81.5%).
This year, the shaky Arizona Cardinals defense has allowed a monstrous 76.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 3rd-highest rate in the league.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
Right now, the 8th-least pass-centric offense in the league (58.7% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Arizona Cardinals.
The leading projections forecast this game to have the 11th-most sluggish pace out of all the games this week, averaging 26.79 seconds per play accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The 4th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Arizona Cardinals this year (a lowly 53.6 per game on average).
Kyler Murray has thrown for many fewer adjusted yards per game (197.0) this year than he did last year (224.0).
Opposing teams have passed for the 8th-fewest yards in football (just 203.0 adjusted yards per game) against the Bears defense this year.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Chicago Bears to run on 40.5% of their downs: the 8th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
The predictive model expects this game to play at the 11th-most sluggish pace among all games this week, averaging 26.79 seconds per play accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.
The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.
While D’Andre Swift has garnered 58.0% of his offense’s rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be much less involved in Chicago’s rushing attack in this week’s contest at 45.8%.
D’Andre Swift’s running efficiency has diminished this year, notching a mere 3.54 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 4.34 rate last year.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 10th-fewest in the NFL.
After averaging 100.0 air yards per game last season, D.J. Moore has produced significantly fewer this season, now averaging 69.0 per game.
D.J. Moore’s 58.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 76.9.
D.J. Moore’s 56.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season shows a substantial reduction in his receiving ability over last season’s 77.0 rate.
While James Conner has received 63.4% of his team’s rush attempts in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a less important option in Arizona’s running game in this game at 53.4%.
James Conner’s 69.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year shows a significant drop-off in his rushing proficiency over last year’s 79.0 rate.
The Cardinals pass defense has yielded the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (71.2%) to tight ends this year (71.2%).
Trey McBride’s 3.67 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year shows a meaningful decrease in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last year’s 5.1% figure.
As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Chicago’s collection of safeties has been terrific this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.
The Bears defense has surrendered the 5th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 121.0) versus wide receivers this year.
This year, the stout Bears defense has given up the 2nd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wide receivers: a puny 7.1 yards.
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