Patriots vs Dolphins Match Player Stats | Week 12 Sunday 2024

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Patriots vs Dolphins Match Player Stats | Week 12 Sunday 2024

NE @ MIA

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 12 New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins
Todays Game is on Sunday, November 24th
24/11/24 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff

Key Match Player Stats to this Game

Our trusted projections expect Rhamondre Stevenson to notch 16.3 rush attempts in this game, on average, putting him in the 81st percentile among running backs.

Rhamondre Stevenson has been a more important option in his offense’s rushing attack this season (61.8% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (51.2%).

Rhamondre Stevenson has picked up 58.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the biggest figures in the NFL when it comes to RBs (78th percentile).

The 8th-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Dolphins this year (a whopping 60.0 per game on average).

Tua Tagovailoa’s passing accuracy has gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 69.6% to 72.9%.

This year, the deficient Patriots defense has been torched for the 6th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing offenses: a staggering 8.30 yards.

As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, New England’s unit has been atrocious this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in the league.

The leading projections forecast the Dolphins as the 7th-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 44.6% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The model projects Devon Achane to accrue 14.2 carries in this game, on average, ranking him in the 76th percentile when it comes to running backs.

After accounting for 31.2% of his offense’s run game usage last year, Devon Achane has been called on more in the rushing attack this year, now accounting for 41.9%.

This year, the deficient Dolphins defense has allowed a colossal 73.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 7th-largest rate in football.

The Dolphins linebackers project as the 8th-worst LB corps in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

The model projects Tyreek Hill to notch 7.4 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 83rd percentile among WRs.

This year, the anemic New England Patriots pass defense has been gouged for a staggering 69.2% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 6th-biggest rate in the NFL.

The Patriots pass defense has displayed poor efficiency against WRs this year, conceding 8.79 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-most in football.

In this week’s game, Jonnu Smith is expected by the predictive model to slot into the 88th percentile among tight ends with 6.1 targets.

When talking about air yards, Jonnu Smith ranks in the towering 85th percentile among TEs this year, totaling a whopping 30.0 per game.

Jonnu Smith’s 35.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 28.8.

Jonnu Smith has totaled quite a few more adjusted receiving yards per game (42.0) this season than he did last season (34.0).

Demario Douglas’s possession skills have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 64.1% to 77.1%.

Demario Douglas is positioned as one of the best wideouts in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging an excellent 5.45 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 76th percentile.

This year, the porous Miami Dolphins pass defense has conceded a whopping 69.7% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 4th-largest rate in the league.

Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game

At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Patriots are enormous underdogs in this week’s contest, indicating much more of a focus on passing than their usual game plan.

The projections expect the New England Patriots as the 9th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 42.0% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to have just 126.1 plays on offense run: the fewest out of all the games this week.

With an awful tally of 3.79 adjusted yards per carry (8th percentile) this year, Rhamondre Stevenson has been as one of the weakest RBs in the NFL at the position.

As it relates to the defensive ends’ role in defending against the run, Miami’s DE corps has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 7th-best in the NFL.

With a 7.5-point advantage, the Dolphins are overwhelmingly favored in this week’s contest, indicating much more of a reliance on rushing than their standard game plan.

The predictive model expects the Miami Dolphins to be the 7th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 55.4% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect the Dolphins to run the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Tua Tagovailoa’s 239.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year illustrates a noteable regression in his passing ability over last year’s 282.0 mark.

Tua Tagovailoa’s 7.46 adjusted yards-per-target this year indicates a significant decrease in his throwing efficiency over last year’s 8.6% rate.

Devon Achane’s 49.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season marks a noteworthy decline in his rushing talent over last season’s 69.0 rate.

Devon Achane’s 4.0 adjusted yards per carry this year indicates a substantial decrease in his rushing skills over last year’s 7.4 rate.

Devon Achane’s 3.02 yards-after-contact this year represents an impressive decrease in his running ability over last year’s 4.94 mark.

The Patriots O-line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.

Opposing teams have passed for the 9th-fewest yards in football (just 211.0 adjusted yards per game) vs. the Dolphins defense this year.

After accruing 113.0 air yards per game last season, Tyreek Hill has produced significantly less this season, now pacing 81.0 per game.

Tyreek Hill has posted quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (50.0) this season than he did last season (109.0).

After accruing 44.0 air yards per game last season, Demario Douglas has seen a big decrease this season, currently pacing 32.0 per game.

The Miami Dolphins defense has conceded the 5th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 125.0) vs. wideouts this year.

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