Cowboys vs Bears Match Player Stats | Week 3 Sunday 2025

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DAL @ CHI

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 3 Dallas Cowboys at Chicago Bears
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 21st
21/09/25 16:25:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Dallas Cowboys Game Today

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by the projection model to call 66.5 plays on offense in this game: the 4th-most on the slate this week.

The Chicago Bears have run the 8th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 59.0 plays per game.

DJ Moore has run a route on 96.4% of his offense’s passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 97th percentile among WRs.

The predictive model expects DJ Moore to total 7.1 targets in this week’s game, on balance, ranking him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to wideouts.

DJ Moore profiles as one of the best WRs in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging an excellent 61.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 85th percentile.

With a remarkable 77.9% Route Participation Rate (89th percentile) since the start of last season, Cole Kmet rates among the tight ends with the biggest workloads in the NFL.

Cole Kmet has posted a staggering 22.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 77th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

The Bears offensive line grades out as the 3rd-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong influence on all air attack statistics across the board.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see 132.0 plays on offense run: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.

The 2nd-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Cowboys since the start of last season (a whopping 61.3 per game on average).

The projections expect Jake Ferguson to garner 6.6 targets in this week’s game, on balance, placing him in the 96th percentile when it comes to TEs.

With an exceptional 17.3% Target% (87th percentile) since the start of last season, Jake Ferguson rates among the TEs with the most usage in football.

In regards to air yards, Jake Ferguson grades out in the lofty 84th percentile among tight ends since the start of last season, accumulating a whopping 29.0 per game.

Javonte Williams’s 4.6 adjusted yards per carry this year represents an impressive boost in his rushing ability over last year’s 3.8 mark.

The Bears defense has produced the 2nd-worst efficiency against opposing running games since the start of last season, conceding 5.11 adjusted yards-per-carry.

Since the start of last season, the porous Dallas Cowboys defense has been gouged for a whopping 73.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 5th-biggest rate in the NFL.

The Cowboys pass defense has shown bad efficiency since the start of last season, surrendering 8.65 adjusted yards-per-target: the most in the league.

The predictive model expects Dak Prescott to throw 35.7 passes in this game, on average: the 8th-most among all quarterbacks.

With a remarkable record of 251.0 adjusted passing yards per game (83rd percentile), Dak Prescott rates as one of the top passers in the league since the start of last season.

Dak Prescott’s 68.6% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a material gain in his passing accuracy over last season’s 65.0% figure.

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Bears to run on 44.9% of their plays: the 10th-highest rate on the slate this week.

With an impressive total of 54.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (81st percentile), D’Andre Swift rates as one of the best pure rushers in football since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season, the anemic Cowboys run defense has surrendered a colossal 138.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 4th-most in football.

The leading projections forecast CeeDee Lamb to accumulate 9.7 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 97th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

CeeDee Lamb has been a key part of his team’s passing offense, earning a Target Share of 27.7% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 95th percentile among wideouts.

When it comes to air yards, CeeDee Lamb ranks in the lofty 91st percentile among WRs since the start of last season, accumulating a monstrous 89.0 per game.

Negatives with the Chicago Bears Game Today

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chicago Bears to pass on 55.1% of their downs: the 10th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Dallas Cowboys, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 30.2 per game) since the start of last season.

Cole Kmet’s 47.2% Adjusted Completion Rate this season illustrates a noteable diminishment in his pass-catching prowess over last season’s 85.6% mark.

The Dallas Cowboys have played in the 9th-most “low wind” (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced pass game efficiency when facing windier weather in this week’s contest.

Opposing teams have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense since the start of last season: 5th-fewest in the league.

The Dallas Cowboys O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

Jake Ferguson’s 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season shows a substantial drop-off in his effectiveness in the open field over last season’s 5.2% figure.

The Chicago Bears linebackers profile as the 2nd-best LB corps in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

CeeDee Lamb’s 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year represents a substantial regression in his efficiency in the open field over last year’s 4.7% mark.

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